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Live 16 UTC
Saudi Arabia Pro League Round 13 Thursday, 5 November 2026 Kick-off
Al-Ittihad FCHomeLWWWD
Thu 5 Nov
NEOMAwayDLLWW
472528
Al-Ittihad FC winDrawNEOM win
Kick-off
Thu 5 Nov
Expected goals
3.00
1.72 : 1.28
Favourite
47%
Al-Ittihad FC
Over 2.5 goals
57%
model chance
Both teams to score
60%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Al-Ittihad FC vs NEOM

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.933.763.491.622.211.532.31Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Al-Ittihad FC to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Al-Ittihad FC price at 1.93, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.76 and 1xBet have NEOM longest at 3.49.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.62 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.21 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.53 (1xBet) and no 2.31 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

75%

Our prediction

Al-Ittihad FC or NEOM (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.72 : 1.28-6.8% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.62
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.53
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.09fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Al-Ittihad FC, full-time Al-Ittihad FC
29% chance3.40fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.35fair

Al-Ittihad FC vs NEOM prediction

Al-Ittihad FC vs NEOM prediction and best bet

Al-Ittihad FC are marginally ahead in the Al-Ittihad FC vs NEOM prediction, rated 47% to win this Saudi Arabia Pro League match on Thursday, 5 November 2026. NEOM sit at 28% and the draw at 25%.

Al-Ittihad FC are expected to score 1.72 and NEOM 1.28, so the total line is 3.00 goals; over 2.5 lands at 57% and BTTS at 60%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Al-Ittihad FC or NEOM (no draw) is the main selection, rated 75%. The best price in our comparison is 1.24 at 1xBet, which implies 81%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Over the last 5 matches Al-Ittihad FC stand at 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; NEOM show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Al-Ittihad FC vs NEOM

On the goal lines Al-Ittihad FC vs NEOM reads 80% for over 1.5, 57% for over 2.5 and 35% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 43%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.62 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 60%. Al-Ittihad FC score in 82% of simulations against a 18% clean sheet for NEOM; NEOM score in 72% while Al-Ittihad FC shut them out 28% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11%, then 2-1 at 9.4% and 1-0 at 8.6%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Al-Ittihad FC, full-time Al-Ittihad FC is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.

Every market for Al-Ittihad FC vs NEOM

The grid built from 1.72 and 1.28 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Al-Ittihad FC to win47%1.93
Draw25%3.76
NEOM to win28%3.49
Al-Ittihad FC, draw no bet63%fair 1.59
NEOM, draw no bet37%fair 2.70

Double chance

Al-Ittihad FC or draw72%1.28
NEOM or draw53%1.81
Al-Ittihad FC or NEOM (no draw)75%1.24

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.62
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.83
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.41
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.03
Under 2.5 goals43%2.21
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.55

BTTS

Both teams to score60%1.53
Not both teams to score40%2.31

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.56
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24

Team goals

Al-Ittihad FC to score82%fair 1.22
NEOM to score72%fair 1.39
Al-Ittihad FC clean sheet28%fair 3.60
NEOM clean sheet18%fair 5.59
Al-Ittihad FC to win to nil26%fair 3.91
NEOM to win to nil17%fair 6.06

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-111%
2-19.4%
1-08.6%
2-07.4%
1-27%
0-16.4%

Half-time / full-time

Al-Ittihad FC / Al-Ittihad FC29.4%
NEOM / NEOM16.4%
Draw / Al-Ittihad FC15.4%
Draw / Draw13.3%
Draw / NEOM10.1%

Questions about Al-Ittihad FC vs NEOM

Al-Ittihad FC or NEOM: which side does the model back?

The model gives Al-Ittihad FC the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 25%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for Al-Ittihad FC vs NEOM?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 57%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Al-Ittihad FC vs NEOM?

The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Al-Ittihad FC find the net in 82% of simulated matches and NEOM in 72%.

When is Al-Ittihad FC vs NEOM and where is the result shown?

Al-Ittihad FC vs NEOM starts at 17:00 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Al-Ittihad FC v NEOMAl-Ittihad FC or NEOM (no draw), 75%
1.24Bet