Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr prediction

Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr prediction and best bet

The Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr prediction leans to Al-Nassr: 80% against 9% for Al-Hazm, with 12% left for the draw, in the Saudi Arabia Pro League on Thursday, 5 November 2026.

Al-Hazm are expected to score 0.82 and Al-Nassr 2.88, so the total line is 3.70 goals; over 2.5 lands at 70% and BTTS at 53%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is al-Nassr to win at 80%. The best price in our comparison is 1.18 at 1xBet, which implies 85%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr.

For a safer line, al-Nassr or draw covers 91% of outcomes at 1.01.

The draw sits at only 12%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Over the last 5 matches Al-Hazm stand at 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Al-Nassr show 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in 5.

Goals forecast for Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 30% and under 3.5 50%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 88% and over 2.5 at 70%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 70%; 1xBet pay 1.34.

BTTS yes stands at 53%. Al-Hazm score in 56% of simulations against a 44% clean sheet for Al-Nassr; Al-Nassr score in 94% while Al-Hazm shut them out 6% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 0-2 at 10.3%, followed by 0-3 (9.8%) and 1-2 (8.4%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Al-Nassr, full-time Al-Nassr is the top combination at 57%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 81%.