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Saudi Arabia Pro League Round 9 Saturday, 17 October 2026 FT
NEOMHomeDLLWW
0:1Half-time 0:0
Al-EttifaqAwayDWLWD
502624
NEOM winDrawAl-Ettifaq win
Kick-off
Sat 17 Oct
Expected goals
3.06
1.83 : 1.23
Favourite
50%
NEOM
Over 2.5 goals
59%
model chance
Both teams to score
61%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.023.723.611.672.201.622.31Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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NEOM to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best NEOM price at 2.02, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.72 and 1xBet have Al-Ettifaq longest at 3.61.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.67 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.20 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.62 (1xBet) and no 2.31 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

50%

Our prediction

NEOM to win
LeanExpected goals 1.83 : 1.23+1.2% against the best price
Double chanceNEOM or draw
76% chance1.31
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
59% chance1.67
BTTSBoth teams to score
61% chance1.62
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.23fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.43fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time NEOM, full-time NEOM
32% chance3.11fair

NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq prediction

Our NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq prediction and pick

NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq prediction for the Saudi Arabia Pro League on Saturday, 17 October 2026: the model makes NEOM a narrow favourite at 50%, with the draw at 26% and Al-Ettifaq at 24%.

Expected goals are 1.83 for NEOM and 1.23 for Al-Ettifaq, a total of 3.06, which puts over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 61%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is nEOM to win at 50%. At 2.02 with 1xBet the market prices it at 50%, against 50% from the model.

For a safer line, nEOM or draw covers 76% of outcomes at 1.31.

Over the last 5 matches NEOM stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Al-Ettifaq show 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq

On the goal lines NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq reads 81% for over 1.5, 59% for over 2.5 and 37% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 42%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 59%, best priced 1.67 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 61%. NEOM score in 84% of simulations against a 16% clean sheet for Al-Ettifaq; Al-Ettifaq score in 71% while NEOM shut them out 29% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.6%, followed by 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (8.6%).

With the top scoreline at 10.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time NEOM, full-time NEOM is the top combination at 32%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 75%.

Every market rated for NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 50% / 26% / 24% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

NEOM to win50%2.02
Draw26%3.72
Al-Ettifaq to win24%3.61
NEOM, draw no bet68%fair 1.48
Al-Ettifaq, draw no bet33%fair 3.08

Double chance

NEOM or draw76%1.31
Al-Ettifaq or draw50%1.83
NEOM or Al-Ettifaq (no draw)74%1.30

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.67
Over 3.5 goals37%fair 2.73
Over 4.5 goals20%fair 5.13
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.26
Under 2.5 goals42%2.20
Under 3.5 goals63%fair 1.58

BTTS

Both teams to score61%1.62
Not both teams to score39%2.31

Halves

First-half goal75%fair 1.34
Over 1.5 first-half goals40%fair 2.50
Second-half goal81%fair 1.23

Team goals

NEOM to score84%fair 1.19
Al-Ettifaq to score71%fair 1.41
NEOM clean sheet29%fair 3.42
Al-Ettifaq clean sheet16%fair 6.25
NEOM to win to nil27%fair 3.72
Al-Ettifaq to win to nil15%fair 6.76

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.6%
2-19.7%
1-08.6%
2-07.9%
1-26.5%
2-25.9%

Half-time / full-time

NEOM / NEOM32.2%
Draw / NEOM16.2%
Al-Ettifaq / Al-Ettifaq14.6%
Draw / Draw12.8%
Draw / Al-Ettifaq9.2%

Questions about NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq

Who will win NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq?

The model gives NEOM the best chance at 50%, with the draw at 26%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What scoreline is most likely in NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 59% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq?

The BTTS yes line is rated 61%. NEOM find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Al-Ettifaq in 71%.

What time does NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq kick off?

Kick-off is 15:40 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, NEOM v Al-EttifaqNEOM to win, 50%
2.02Bet