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Live 18 UTC
Saudi Arabia Pro League Round 13 Thursday, 5 November 2026 Kick-off
Al-FatehHomeLWLLL
Thu 5 Nov
Al RiyadhAwayDLWL
382537
Al-Fateh winDrawAl Riyadh win
Kick-off
Thu 5 Nov
Expected goals
2.94
1.48 : 1.46
Favourite
38%
Al-Fateh
Over 2.5 goals
56%
model chance
Both teams to score
59%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Al-Fateh vs Al Riyadh odds comparison

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.

75%

Our prediction

Al-Fateh or Al Riyadh (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.48 : 1.46
1.33fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
56% chance1.77fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.68fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
79% chance1.26fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.77fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Al-Fateh, full-time Al-Fateh
23% chance4.41fair
First halfFirst-half goal
73% chance1.36fair

Al-Fateh vs Al Riyadh prediction

Our Al-Fateh vs Al Riyadh prediction and pick

Nothing separates the sides in the Al-Fateh vs Al Riyadh prediction for Thursday, 5 November 2026: 38% home, 25% draw and 37% away in the Saudi Arabia Pro League. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

Al-Fateh are expected to score 1.48 and Al Riyadh 1.46, so the total line is 2.94 goals; over 2.5 lands at 56% and BTTS at 59%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Al-Fateh or Al Riyadh (no draw) is the main selection, rated 75%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

Over the last 5 matches Al-Fateh stand at 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Al Riyadh show 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 4.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Al-Fateh vs Al Riyadh

On the goal lines Al-Fateh vs Al Riyadh reads 79% for over 1.5, 56% for over 2.5 and 34% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 44%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 56%.

Both teams to score is 59%: Al-Fateh find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Al Riyadh in 77%. Al-Fateh keep a clean sheet 23% of the time and Al Riyadh 23%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.4%, then 2-1 at 8.5% and 1-2 at 8.3%.

With the top scoreline at 11.4%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Al-Fateh vs Al Riyadh; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Al-Fateh, full-time Al-Fateh leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Al-Fateh vs Al Riyadh

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Al-Fateh vs Al Riyadh, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Al-Fateh to win38%fair 2.61
Draw25%fair 4.07
Al Riyadh to win37%fair 2.70
Al-Fateh, draw no bet51%fair 1.97
Al Riyadh, draw no bet49%fair 2.03

Double chance

Al-Fateh or draw63%fair 1.59
Al Riyadh or draw62%fair 1.62
Al-Fateh or Al Riyadh (no draw)75%fair 1.33

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals79%fair 1.26
Over 2.5 goals56%fair 1.77
Over 3.5 goals34%fair 2.95
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.71
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.81
Under 2.5 goals44%fair 2.29
Under 3.5 goals66%fair 1.51

BTTS

Both teams to score59%fair 1.68
Not both teams to score41%fair 2.46

Halves

First-half goal73%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.62
Second-half goal80%fair 1.25

Team goals

Al-Fateh to score77%fair 1.30
Al Riyadh to score77%fair 1.30
Al-Fateh clean sheet23%fair 4.31
Al Riyadh clean sheet23%fair 4.39
Al-Fateh to win to nil21%fair 4.67
Al Riyadh to win to nil21%fair 4.78

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
2-18.5%
1-28.3%
1-07.8%
0-17.7%
2-26.2%

Half-time / full-time

Al-Fateh / Al-Fateh22.7%
Al Riyadh / Al Riyadh22.1%
Draw / Draw13.9%
Draw / Al-Fateh13%
Draw / Al Riyadh12.7%

Questions about Al-Fateh vs Al Riyadh

Who is favourite in Al-Fateh vs Al Riyadh?

The model gives Al-Fateh the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 25%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Al-Fateh vs Al Riyadh correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 56% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Al-Fateh vs Al Riyadh?

The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Al-Fateh find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Al Riyadh in 77%.

What time does Al-Fateh vs Al Riyadh kick off?

Kick-off is 17:00 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Al-Fateh v Al RiyadhAl-Fateh or Al Riyadh (no draw), 75%
1.33fair