Al-Faisaly FCHomeWDLWL
Al DiriyahAwayLDWLL
Al-Faisaly FCHomeWDLWL
Al DiriyahAwayLDWLLNo bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Diriyah yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
Our prediction
Al Diriyah are marginally ahead in the Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Diriyah prediction, rated 41% to win this Saudi Arabia Pro League match on Thursday, 5 November 2026. Al-Faisaly FC sit at 32% and the draw at 27%.
Al-Faisaly FC are expected to score 1.12 and Al Diriyah 1.32, so the total line is 2.44 goals; over 2.5 lands at 44% and BTTS at 49%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Al-Faisaly FC or Al Diriyah (no draw) is the main selection, rated 73%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
Al-Faisaly FC average 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded across their last 5, Al Diriyah 0.6 and 1.6 across 5.
Under 2.5 goals is rated 56% and under 3.5 77%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 70% and over 2.5 at 44%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 49%, built from Al-Faisaly FC scoring in 67% of runs and Al Diriyah in 73%; clean sheets come at 27% for Al-Faisaly FC and 33% for Al Diriyah.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Diriyah: 1-1 (12.9%), 0-1 (11.5%) and 1-0 (9.8%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Al Diriyah, full-time Al Diriyah leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
The grid built from 1.12 and 1.32 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Al Diriyah the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 44%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Al-Faisaly FC find the net in 67% of simulated matches and Al Diriyah in 73%.
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Diriyah starts at 17:00 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.