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Saudi Arabia Pro League Round 11 Friday, 23 October 2026 FT
Al-Ittihad FCHomeLWWWD
2:0Half-time 1:0
Al DiriyahAwayLDWLL
532225
Al-Ittihad FC winDrawAl Diriyah win
Kick-off
Fri 23 Oct
Expected goals
3.11
1.88 : 1.23
Favourite
53%
Al-Ittihad FC
Over 2.5 goals
60%
model chance
Both teams to score
62%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.794.133.721.502.491.472.47Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Al-Ittihad FC to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah prediction: Al-Ittihad FC 1.79 (1xBet), draw 4.13 (1xBet), Al Diriyah 3.72 (1xBet).

The best-price payout across the three results is 93.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.50 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.49 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.47 (1xBet) and no 2.47 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

53%

Our prediction

Al-Ittihad FC to win
StrongExpected goals 1.88 : 1.23-5.1% against the best price
Double chanceAl-Ittihad FC or Al Diriyah (no draw)
78% chance1.21
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.50
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.47
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.71fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Al-Ittihad FC, full-time Al-Ittihad FC
33% chance3.02fair

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah prediction

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah prediction, who wins and at what price

Al-Ittihad FC host Al Diriyah on Friday, 23 October 2026 in the Saudi Arabia Pro League, and the model has Al-Ittihad FC at 53%, the draw at 22% and Al Diriyah at 25%: that is the Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah prediction in one line.

Al-Ittihad FC are expected to score 1.88 and Al Diriyah 1.23, so the total line is 3.11 goals; over 2.5 lands at 60% and BTTS at 62%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is al-Ittihad FC to win at 53%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.79. That price implies 56%, 3 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Al-Ittihad FC or Al Diriyah (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 78% chance, priced 1.21.

The draw sits at only 22%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Al-Ittihad FC average 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Al Diriyah 0.6 and 1.6 across 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 82%, over 2.5 at 60%, over 3.5 at 38%; under 2.5 is 40% and under 3.5 is 62%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 60%; 1xBet pay 1.50.

Both teams to score is 62%: Al-Ittihad FC find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Al Diriyah in 71%. Al-Ittihad FC keep a clean sheet 29% of the time and Al Diriyah 15%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah: 1-1 (10.3%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (8.4%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Al-Ittihad FC, full-time Al-Ittihad FC leads at 33%. A goal before the break is rated 75%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Al-Ittihad FC to win53%1.79
Draw22%4.13
Al Diriyah to win25%3.72
Al-Ittihad FC, draw no bet68%fair 1.48
Al Diriyah, draw no bet32%fair 3.10

Double chance

Al-Ittihad FC or draw75%1.25
Al Diriyah or draw47%1.96
Al-Ittihad FC or Al Diriyah (no draw)78%1.21

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.50
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.65
Over 4.5 goals20%fair 4.90
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.46
Under 2.5 goals40%2.49
Under 3.5 goals62%fair 1.61

BTTS

Both teams to score62%1.47
Not both teams to score38%2.47

Halves

First-half goal75%fair 1.33
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.45
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22

Team goals

Al-Ittihad FC to score85%fair 1.18
Al Diriyah to score71%fair 1.41
Al-Ittihad FC clean sheet29%fair 3.42
Al Diriyah clean sheet15%fair 6.54
Al-Ittihad FC to win to nil27%fair 3.72
Al Diriyah to win to nil14%fair 7.14

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.3%
2-19.7%
1-08.4%
2-07.9%
1-26.3%
3-16.1%

Half-time / full-time

Al-Ittihad FC / Al-Ittihad FC33.1%
Draw / Al-Ittihad FC16.3%
Al Diriyah / Al Diriyah14.2%
Draw / Draw12.5%
Draw / Al Diriyah8.9%

Questions about Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah

Who will win Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah?

The model gives Al-Ittihad FC the best chance at 53%, with the draw at 22%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 60%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah?

The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Al-Ittihad FC find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Al Diriyah in 71%.

When is Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah and where is the result shown?

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah starts at 15:30 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Al-Ittihad FC v Al DiriyahAl-Ittihad FC to win, 53%
1.79Bet