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Saudi Arabia Pro League Round 13 Thursday, 5 November 2026 Kick-off
Al-Ahli JeddahHomeWWWWL
Thu 5 Nov
Al TaawonAwayDLLWD
622018
Al-Ahli Jeddah winDrawAl Taawon win
Kick-off
Thu 5 Nov
Expected goals
3.27
2.18 : 1.09
Favourite
62%
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Over 2.5 goals
63%
model chance
Both teams to score
59%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Best odds for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

Bookmakers have not opened Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.

62%

Our prediction

Al-Ahli Jeddah to win
BankerExpected goals 2.18 : 1.09
1.61fair
Double chanceAl-Ahli Jeddah or draw
82% chance1.22fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
63% chance1.58fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.71fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.19fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Al-Ahli Jeddah, full-time Al-Ahli Jeddah
41% chance2.46fair

Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon prediction

Our Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon prediction and pick

Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon prediction for the Saudi Arabia Pro League on Thursday, 5 November 2026: the model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the clear favourite at 62%, with the draw at 20% and Al Taawon at 18%.

The goal expectancy is 3.27 in total, split 2.18 to Al-Ahli Jeddah and 1.09 to Al Taawon. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 63% and both teams to score 59%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon is al-Ahli Jeddah to win, a 62% chance. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 82% chance.

The draw sits at only 20%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Al-Ahli Jeddah average 2.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded across their last 5, Al Taawon 1.0 and 1.0 across 5.

Goals forecast for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon reads 84% for over 1.5, 63% for over 2.5 and 41% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 37%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 63%.

The chance of both teams scoring is 59%, built from Al-Ahli Jeddah scoring in 89% of runs and Al Taawon in 66%; clean sheets come at 34% for Al-Ahli Jeddah and 11% for Al Taawon.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.

The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9.8%, followed by 1-1 (9%) and 2-0 (9%).

With the top scoreline at 9.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Al-Ahli Jeddah, full-time Al-Ahli Jeddah is the top combination at 41%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 77%.

Every market for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 62% / 20% / 18% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Al-Ahli Jeddah to win62%fair 1.61
Draw20%fair 5.03
Al Taawon to win18%fair 5.56
Al-Ahli Jeddah, draw no bet78%fair 1.29
Al Taawon, draw no bet22%fair 4.46

Double chance

Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw82%fair 1.22
Al Taawon or draw38%fair 2.64
Al-Ahli Jeddah or Al Taawon (no draw)80%fair 1.25

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 2.5 goals63%fair 1.58
Over 3.5 goals41%fair 2.42
Over 4.5 goals23%fair 4.31
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.17
Under 2.5 goals37%fair 2.72
Under 3.5 goals59%fair 1.70

BTTS

Both teams to score59%fair 1.71
Not both teams to score41%fair 2.42

Halves

First-half goal77%fair 1.30
Over 1.5 first-half goals43%fair 2.31
Second-half goal83%fair 1.20

Team goals

Al-Ahli Jeddah to score89%fair 1.13
Al Taawon to score66%fair 1.51
Al-Ahli Jeddah clean sheet34%fair 2.98
Al Taawon clean sheet11%fair 8.85
Al-Ahli Jeddah to win to nil31%fair 3.24
Al Taawon to win to nil10%fair 9.62

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-19.8%
1-19%
2-09%
1-08.3%
3-17.2%
3-06.6%

Half-time / full-time

Al-Ahli Jeddah / Al-Ahli Jeddah40.7%
Draw / Al-Ahli Jeddah17.9%
Draw / Draw10.9%
Al Taawon / Al Taawon10%
Draw / Al Taawon6.6%

Questions about Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon

Who will win Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon?

The model gives Al-Ahli Jeddah the best chance at 62%, with the draw at 20%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What scoreline is most likely in Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon?

2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 63% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Taawon?

The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Al-Ahli Jeddah find the net in 89% of simulated matches and Al Taawon in 66%.

When do Al-Ahli Jeddah play Al Taawon?

Kick-off is 17:00 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Al-Ahli Jeddah v Al TaawonAl-Ahli Jeddah to win, 62%
1.61fair