Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Nassr prediction

Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Nassr prediction, who wins and at what price

Al-Faisaly FC host Al-Nassr on Friday, 23 October 2026 in the Saudi Arabia Pro League, and the model has Al-Nassr at 77%, the draw at 13% and Al-Faisaly FC at 10%: that is the Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Nassr prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 0.83 for Al-Faisaly FC and 2.72 for Al-Nassr, a total of 3.55, which puts over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 53%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Al-Nassr to win is the main selection, rated 77%. The best price in our comparison is 1.18 at 1xBet, which implies 85%, so the model sits 8 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Al-Nassr or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 90% chance, priced 1.02.

With the draw down at 13%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches Al-Faisaly FC stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Al-Nassr show 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in 5.

Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Nassr over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 32% and under 3.5 53%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 87% and over 2.5 at 68%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 68%, best priced 1.35 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 53%, built from Al-Faisaly FC scoring in 56% of runs and Al-Nassr in 93%; clean sheets come at 7% for Al-Faisaly FC and 44% for Al-Nassr.

Correct score: 0-2 leads at 10.6%, then 0-3 at 9.6% and 1-2 at 8.8%.

With the top scoreline at 10.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Nassr; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Al-Nassr, full-time Al-Nassr is the top combination at 54%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 80%.