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Live 13 UTC
Saudi Arabia Pro League Round 12 Thursday, 29 October 2026 FT
Al-NassrHomeWWWWW
5:3Half-time 2:2
Al KholoodAwayLLLL
81118
Al-Nassr winDrawAl Kholood win
Kick-off
Thu 29 Oct
Expected goals
3.69
2.91 : 0.78
Favourite
81%
Al-Nassr
Over 2.5 goals
70%
model chance
Both teams to score
52%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Best odds for Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.157.7014.201.362.771.861.83Bet
22Bet1.188.1011.501.293.601.702.16Bet
BC.Game1.197.4011.001.323.101.731.98Bet
Betwinner1.188.1011.501.293.601.702.16Bet
Melbet1.188.1011.501.283.721.642.26Bet
Stake1.207.2011.001.293.401.712.01Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Al-Nassr to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood are 1.20 for Al-Nassr at Stake, 8.10 for the draw at Melbet and 14.20 for Al Kholood at 1xBet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 97.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.36 (1xBet) and under 2.5 3.72 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.86 (1xBet) and no 2.26 (Melbet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

81%

Our prediction

Al-Nassr to win
BankerExpected goals 2.91 : 0.78-3% against the best price
Double chanceAl-Nassr or draw
92% chance1.03
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
70% chance1.36
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.86
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
88% chance1.13fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
11% chance9.43fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Al-Nassr, full-time Al-Nassr
58% chance1.73fair

Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood prediction

Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood prediction, who wins and at what price

Al-Nassr host Al Kholood on Thursday, 29 October 2026 in the Saudi Arabia Pro League, and the model has Al-Nassr at 81%, the draw at 11% and Al Kholood at 8%: that is the Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 2.91 for Al-Nassr and 0.78 for Al Kholood, a total of 3.69, which puts over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams to score at 52%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood is al-Nassr to win, a 81% chance. At 1.20 with Stake the market prices it at 83%, against 81% from the model.

Al-Nassr or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 92% chance, priced 1.03.

The draw sits at only 11%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Form check: Al-Nassr have won 5 of their last 5 with 15 scored and 5 conceded, Al Kholood 0 of 4 scoring 5 and conceding 16.

Goals forecast for Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood reads 88% for over 1.5, 70% for over 2.5 and 50% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 30%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 70%; 1xBet pay 1.36.

Both teams to score is 52%: Al-Nassr find the net in 95% of simulated matches and Al Kholood in 54%. Al-Nassr keep a clean sheet 46% of the time and Al Kholood 5%.

Correct score: 2-0 leads at 10.6%, then 3-0 at 10.3% and 2-1 at 8.2%.

With the top scoreline at 10.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Al-Nassr, full-time Al-Nassr leads at 58%. A goal before the break is rated 81%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Al-Nassr to win81%1.20
Draw11%8.10
Al Kholood to win8%14.20
Al-Nassr, draw no bet91%fair 1.10
Al Kholood, draw no bet9%fair 11.11

Double chance

Al-Nassr or draw92%1.03
Al Kholood or draw19%4.99
Al-Nassr or Al Kholood (no draw)89%1.08

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals88%fair 1.13
Over 2.5 goals70%1.36
Over 3.5 goals50%fair 1.99
Over 4.5 goals31%fair 3.23
Under 1.5 goals12%fair 8.47
Under 2.5 goals30%3.72
Under 3.5 goals50%fair 2.01

BTTS

Both teams to score52%1.86
Not both teams to score48%2.26

Halves

First-half goal81%fair 1.23
Over 1.5 first-half goals49%fair 2.02
Second-half goal87%fair 1.15

Team goals

Al-Nassr to score95%fair 1.06
Al Kholood to score54%fair 1.85
Al-Nassr clean sheet46%fair 2.18
Al Kholood clean sheet5%fair 18.52
Al-Nassr to win to nil42%fair 2.37
Al Kholood to win to nil5%fair 20.00

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-010.6%
3-010.3%
2-18.2%
3-18%
4-07.5%
1-07.3%

Half-time / full-time

Al-Nassr / Al-Nassr57.9%
Draw / Al-Nassr19.1%
Draw / Draw6.9%
Al Kholood / Al Kholood3.8%
Al Kholood / Al-Nassr3.3%

Questions about Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood

Al-Nassr or Al Kholood: which side does the model back?

The model gives Al-Nassr the best chance at 81%, with the draw at 11%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 10.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 70%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood?

The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Al-Nassr find the net in 95% of simulated matches and Al Kholood in 54%.

When is Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 18:00 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Al-Nassr v Al KholoodAl-Nassr to win, 81%
1.20Bet