Saudi Arabia Pro League
Round 11 Thursday, 22 October 2026
FT
Al-HazmHomeDLLDL
2:2Half-time 1:1
Al-FayhaAwayDLLDW442729
Al-Hazm winDrawAl-Fayha win
Saudi Arabia Pro League
Round 11 Thursday, 22 October 2026
FT
Al-HazmHomeDLLDLAl-FayhaAwayDLLDW- Kick-off Thu 22 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.73 1.52 : 1.21
- Favourite
- 44% Al-Hazm
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 56% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.25 | 3.34 | 3.07 | 1.88 | 1.86 | 1.68 | 2.04 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Al-Hazm to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha prediction: Al-Hazm 2.25 (1xBet), draw 3.34 (1xBet), Al-Fayha 3.07 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.88 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.86 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.68 (1xBet) and no 2.04 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
73%
Our prediction
Al-Hazm or Al-Fayha (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
52% chance1.88
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.68
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.33fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Al-Hazm, full-time Al-Hazm
27% chance3.73fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.41fair
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha prediction
Our Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha prediction and pick
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha prediction for the Saudi Arabia Pro League on Thursday, 22 October 2026: the model makes Al-Hazm marginally ahead at 44%, with the draw at 27% and Al-Fayha at 29%.
Expected goals are 1.52 for Al-Hazm and 1.21 for Al-Fayha, a total of 2.73, which puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 56%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is al-Hazm or Al-Fayha (no draw) at 73%. At 1.30 with 1xBet the market prices it at 77%, against 73% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha.
Al-Hazm average 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded across their last 5, Al-Fayha 1.8 and 1.8 across 5.
How many goals in Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 76%, over 2.5 at 52%, over 3.5 at 29%; under 2.5 is 49% and under 3.5 is 71%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 1.88 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 56%: Al-Hazm find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Al-Fayha in 70%. Al-Hazm keep a clean sheet 30% of the time and Al-Fayha 22%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12%, then 1-0 at 9.9% and 2-1 at 9.1%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Al-Hazm, full-time Al-Hazm leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 44% / 27% / 29% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Al-Hazm to win44%2.25
Draw27%3.34
Al-Fayha to win29%3.07
Al-Hazm, draw no bet60%fair 1.68
Al-Fayha, draw no bet40%fair 2.48
Double chance
Al-Hazm or draw71%1.34
Al-Fayha or draw57%1.60
Al-Hazm or Al-Fayha (no draw)73%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals52%1.88
Over 3.5 goals29%fair 3.41
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.04
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.12
Under 2.5 goals49%1.86
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.41
BTTS
Both teams to score56%1.68
Not both teams to score45%2.04
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.87
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29
Team goals
Al-Hazm to score78%fair 1.28
Al-Fayha to score70%fair 1.42
Al-Hazm clean sheet30%fair 3.36
Al-Fayha clean sheet22%fair 4.57
Al-Hazm to win to nil27%fair 3.65
Al-Fayha to win to nil20%fair 4.98
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112%
1-09.9%
2-19.1%
0-17.9%
2-07.5%
1-27.3%
Half-time / full-time
Al-Hazm / Al-Hazm26.8%
Al-Fayha / Al-Fayha17.3%
Draw / Al-Hazm15.1%
Draw / Draw15.1%
Draw / Al-Fayha11%
Questions about Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha
Who will win Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha?
The model gives Al-Hazm the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 52% backs the same picture with less variance.
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Al-Hazm find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Al-Fayha in 70%.
What time does Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha kick off?
Kick-off is 13:40 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.