Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah prediction

Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah prediction, who wins and at what price

Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah prediction for the Saudi Arabia Pro League on Monday, 19 October 2026: the model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the clear favourite at 71%, with the draw at 17% and Al-Fayha at 13%.

Al-Fayha are expected to score 0.88 and Al-Ahli Jeddah 2.40, so the total line is 3.28 goals; over 2.5 lands at 63% and BTTS at 53%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is al-Ahli Jeddah to win at 71%. At 1.33 with 1xBet the market prices it at 75%, against 71% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah.

For a safer line, al-Ahli Jeddah or draw covers 88% of outcomes at 1.06.

The draw sits at only 17%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Over the last 5 matches Al-Fayha stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Al-Ahli Jeddah show 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

Goals forecast for Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 84%, over 2.5 at 63%, over 3.5 at 42%; under 2.5 is 37% and under 3.5 is 59%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 63%; 1xBet pay 1.48.

Both teams to score is 53%: Al-Fayha find the net in 59% of simulated matches and Al-Ahli Jeddah in 91%. Al-Fayha keep a clean sheet 9% of the time and Al-Ahli Jeddah 42%.

The most likely scoreline is 0-2 at 10.8%, followed by 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-1 (9%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Al-Ahli Jeddah, full-time Al-Ahli Jeddah leads at 48%. A goal before the break is rated 77%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.