Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli Jeddah prediction

Our Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli Jeddah prediction and pick

Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli Jeddah prediction for the Saudi Arabia Pro League on Friday, 30 October 2026: the model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah a narrow favourite at 55%, with the draw at 22% and Al Shabab at 24%.

Al Shabab are expected to score 1.30 and Al-Ahli Jeddah 2.06, so the total line is 3.36 goals; over 2.5 lands at 65% and BTTS at 65%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is al-Ahli Jeddah to win at 55%. 22Bet offer the top price at 2.14. That price implies 47%, 8 points under the model figure.

That gap is worth 17.1% on a flat stake, which makes the pick a value bet as well as a probable outcome.

For a safer line, al Shabab or Al-Ahli Jeddah (no draw) covers 79% of outcomes at 1.28.

The draw sits at only 22%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Form check: Al Shabab have won 3 of their last 4 with 14 scored and 4 conceded, Al-Ahli Jeddah 4 of 5 scoring 13 and conceding 11.

Goals forecast for Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli Jeddah with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli Jeddah reads 85% for over 1.5, 65% for over 2.5 and 43% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 35%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 65%; 22Bet pay 1.58.

The chance of both teams scoring is 65%, built from Al Shabab scoring in 73% of runs and Al-Ahli Jeddah in 87%; clean sheets come at 13% for Al Shabab and 27% for Al-Ahli Jeddah.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 65%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli Jeddah: 1-2 (9.6%), 1-1 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.4%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Al-Ahli Jeddah, full-time Al-Ahli Jeddah leads at 35%. A goal before the break is rated 78%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.