AFC Champions League Elite
Al-Ahli JeddahHomeWWWWL
2:1Half-time 1:0
Al-GharafaAwayLDDLW8497
Al-Ahli Jeddah winDrawAl-Gharafa win
Al-Ahli JeddahHomeWWWWLAl-GharafaAwayLDDLW- Kick-off Mon 26 Oct
- Expected goals
- 4.15 3.33 : 0.82
- Favourite
- 84% Al-Ahli Jeddah
- Over 2.5 goals
- 76% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Gharafa odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 1.16 | 8.92 | 12.50 | 1.29 | 3.60 | 1.77 | 2.07 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.17 | 6.80 | 12.00 | 1.28 | 3.45 | 1.74 | 1.93 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.16 | 8.92 | 12.50 | 1.28 | 3.72 | 1.76 | 2.06 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.16 | 8.92 | 12.50 | 1.28 | 3.72 | 1.76 | 2.06 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Al-Ahli Jeddah to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Gharafa prediction: Al-Ahli Jeddah 1.17 (BC.Game), draw 8.92 (Melbet), Al-Gharafa 12.50 (Melbet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.29 (22Bet) and under 2.5 3.72 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.77 (22Bet) and no 2.07 (22Bet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
84%
Our prediction
Al-Ahli Jeddah to win
Double chanceAl-Ahli Jeddah or draw
93% chance1.03
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
76% chance1.29
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.77
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
92% chance1.09fair
ScorelineCorrect score 3-0
10% chance10.31fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Al-Ahli Jeddah, full-time Al-Ahli Jeddah
63% chance1.59fair
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Gharafa prediction
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Gharafa prediction, who wins and at what price
Al-Ahli Jeddah are a strong favourite in the Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Gharafa prediction, rated 84% to win this AFC Champions League Elite match on Monday, 26 October 2026. Al-Gharafa sit at 7% and the draw at 9%.
Al-Ahli Jeddah are expected to score 3.33 and Al-Gharafa 0.82, so the total line is 4.15 goals; over 2.5 lands at 76% and BTTS at 55%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is al-Ahli Jeddah to win at 84%. At 1.17 with BC.Game the market prices it at 85%, against 84% from the model.
Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 93% chance, priced 1.03.
The draw sits at only 9%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Over the last 5 matches Al-Ahli Jeddah stand at 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Al-Gharafa show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Gharafa over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 92%, over 2.5 at 76%, over 3.5 at 59%; under 2.5 is 25% and under 3.5 is 41%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 76%; 22Bet pay 1.29.
The chance of both teams scoring is 55%, built from Al-Ahli Jeddah scoring in 96% of runs and Al-Gharafa in 56%; clean sheets come at 44% for Al-Ahli Jeddah and 4% for Al-Gharafa.
Correct score: 3-0 leads at 9.7%, then 2-0 at 8.7% and 4-0 at 8.1%.
With the top scoreline at 9.7%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Gharafa; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Al-Ahli Jeddah, full-time Al-Ahli Jeddah leads at 63%. A goal before the break is rated 85%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Gharafa
The grid built from 3.33 and 0.82 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Al-Ahli Jeddah to win84%1.17
Draw9%8.92
Al-Gharafa to win7%12.50
Al-Ahli Jeddah, draw no bet93%fair 1.08
Al-Gharafa, draw no bet7%fair 13.70
Double chance
Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw93%1.03
Al-Gharafa or draw16%5.21
Al-Ahli Jeddah or Al-Gharafa (no draw)91%1.07
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 2.5 goals76%1.29
Over 3.5 goals59%fair 1.69
Over 4.5 goals40%fair 2.51
Under 1.5 goals8%fair 11.90
Under 2.5 goals25%3.72
Under 3.5 goals41%fair 2.46
BTTS
Both teams to score55%1.77
Not both teams to score46%2.07
Halves
First-half goal85%fair 1.18
Over 1.5 first-half goals56%fair 1.80
Second-half goal90%fair 1.11
Team goals
Al-Ahli Jeddah to score96%fair 1.04
Al-Gharafa to score56%fair 1.79
Al-Ahli Jeddah clean sheet44%fair 2.27
Al-Gharafa clean sheet4%fair 27.78
Al-Ahli Jeddah to win to nil41%fair 2.47
Al-Gharafa to win to nil3%fair 30.30
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
3-09.7%
2-08.7%
4-08.1%
3-18%
2-17.2%
4-16.6%
Half-time / full-time
Al-Ahli Jeddah / Al-Ahli Jeddah62.8%
Draw / Al-Ahli Jeddah17.9%
Draw / Draw5.2%
Al-Gharafa / Al-Ahli Jeddah3.5%
Al-Gharafa / Al-Gharafa3%
Questions about Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Gharafa
Al-Ahli Jeddah or Al-Gharafa: which side does the model back?
The model gives Al-Ahli Jeddah the best chance at 84%, with the draw at 9%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Gharafa?
3-0 is the most likely scoreline at 9.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 76%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Gharafa?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Al-Ahli Jeddah find the net in 96% of simulated matches and Al-Gharafa in 56%.
When is Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Gharafa and where is the result shown?
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Gharafa starts at 16:00 UTC on Monday, 26 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.