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Live 13 UTC
Russia Premier League Round 11 Sunday, 18 October 2026 FT
Spartak MoscowHomeWWLWW
4:0Half-time 2:0
RubinAwayLLLLW
691912
Spartak Moscow winDrawRubin win
Kick-off
Sun 18 Oct
Expected goals
2.82
2.10 : 0.72
Favourite
69%
Spartak Moscow
Over 2.5 goals
53%
model chance
Both teams to score
45%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Spartak Moscow vs Rubin odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.454.878.401.882.072.041.71Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Spartak Moscow to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Spartak Moscow price at 1.45, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.87 and 1xBet have Rubin longest at 8.40.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.88 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.07 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.04 (1xBet) and no 1.71 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

69%

Our prediction

Spartak Moscow to win
BankerExpected goals 2.10 : 0.72+0.5% against the best price
Double chanceSpartak Moscow or draw
89% chance1.12
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.88
BTTSNot both teams to score
55% chance1.71
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
13% chance7.63fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Spartak Moscow, full-time Spartak Moscow
46% chance2.17fair

Spartak Moscow v Rubin head to head

1Spartak Moscow wins
0Draws
0Rubin wins
  • 28 Oct 26Spartak Moscow1:0Rubin

1 meeting since coverage began, 1 goals in total: Spartak Moscow scored 1, Rubin scored 0.

Spartak Moscow vs Rubin prediction

Spartak Moscow vs Rubin prediction, who wins and at what price

Spartak Moscow are the clear favourite in the Spartak Moscow vs Rubin prediction, rated 69% to win this Russia Premier League match on Sunday, 18 October 2026. Rubin sit at 12% and the draw at 19%.

Spartak Moscow are expected to score 2.10 and Rubin 0.72, so the total line is 2.82 goals; over 2.5 lands at 53% and BTTS at 45%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is spartak Moscow to win at 69%. At 1.45 with 1xBet the market prices it at 69%, against 69% from the model.

Spartak Moscow or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 89% chance, priced 1.12.

With the draw down at 19%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches Spartak Moscow stand at 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Rubin show 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats in 5.

How many goals in Spartak Moscow vs Rubin? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 77%, over 2.5 at 53%, over 3.5 at 31%; under 2.5 is 47% and under 3.5 is 69%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 53%, best priced 1.88 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 45%, built from Spartak Moscow scoring in 88% of runs and Rubin in 51%; clean sheets come at 49% for Spartak Moscow and 12% for Rubin.

The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 13.1%, followed by 1-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.5%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Spartak Moscow, full-time Spartak Moscow is the top combination at 46%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.

All markets, Spartak Moscow vs Rubin

The grid built from 2.10 and 0.72 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Spartak Moscow to win69%1.45
Draw19%4.87
Rubin to win12%8.40
Spartak Moscow, draw no bet86%fair 1.17
Rubin, draw no bet14%fair 7.04

Double chance

Spartak Moscow or draw89%1.12
Rubin or draw31%3.08
Spartak Moscow or Rubin (no draw)81%1.24

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Over 2.5 goals53%1.88
Over 3.5 goals31%fair 3.21
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.45
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.39
Under 2.5 goals47%2.07
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.45

BTTS

Both teams to score45%2.04
Not both teams to score55%1.71

Halves

First-half goal72%fair 1.39
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.76
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27

Team goals

Spartak Moscow to score88%fair 1.14
Rubin to score51%fair 1.95
Spartak Moscow clean sheet49%fair 2.05
Rubin clean sheet12%fair 8.20
Spartak Moscow to win to nil45%fair 2.23
Rubin to win to nil11%fair 9.43

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

2-013.1%
1-012.5%
2-19.5%
3-09.2%
1-19%
3-16.6%

Half-time / full-time

Spartak Moscow / Spartak Moscow46%
Draw / Spartak Moscow20.7%
Draw / Draw12%
Rubin / Rubin6.1%
Draw / Rubin4.7%

Questions about Spartak Moscow vs Rubin

Who is favourite in Spartak Moscow vs Rubin?

The model gives Spartak Moscow the best chance at 69%, with the draw at 19%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in Spartak Moscow vs Rubin?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 53%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Spartak Moscow vs Rubin?

The BTTS yes line is rated 45%. Spartak Moscow find the net in 88% of simulated matches and Rubin in 51%.

What time does Spartak Moscow vs Rubin kick off?

Spartak Moscow vs Rubin starts at 15:45 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Spartak Moscow v RubinSpartak Moscow to win, 69%
1.45Bet