Russia Premier League
LokomotivHomeDDLLL
3:3Half-time 1:1
FC KrasnodarAwayLDDWL272845
Lokomotiv winDrawFC Krasnodar win
LokomotivHomeDDLLLFC KrasnodarAwayLDDWL- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.74 1.18 : 1.56
- Favourite
- 45% FC Krasnodar
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 57% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.61 | 3.59 | 2.17 | 1.92 | 2.03 | 1.66 | 2.12 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
FC Krasnodar to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Lokomotiv price at 3.61, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.59 and 1xBet have FC Krasnodar longest at 2.17.
The best-price payout across the three results is 98.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.92 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.03 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.66 (1xBet) and no 2.12 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
73%
Our prediction
FC Krasnodar or draw
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
51% chance1.92
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.66
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.40fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FC Krasnodar, full-time FC Krasnodar
28% chance3.58fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.41fair
Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar prediction
Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar prediction and best bet
Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar prediction for the Russia Premier League on Saturday, 17 October 2026: the model makes FC Krasnodar marginally ahead at 45%, with the draw at 28% and Lokomotiv at 27%.
The goal expectancy is 2.74 in total, split 1.18 to Lokomotiv and 1.56 to FC Krasnodar. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 51% and both teams to score 57%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is fC Krasnodar or draw at 73%. At 1.35 with 1xBet the market prices it at 74%, against 73% from the model.
Over the last 5 matches Lokomotiv stand at 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; FC Krasnodar show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 76%, over 2.5 at 51%, over 3.5 at 30%; under 2.5 is 49% and under 3.5 is 71%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.92 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 57%. Lokomotiv score in 69% of simulations against a 31% clean sheet for FC Krasnodar; FC Krasnodar score in 79% while Lokomotiv shut them out 21% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar: 1-1 (11.9%), 0-1 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.3%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time FC Krasnodar, full-time FC Krasnodar leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar
The grid built from 1.18 and 1.56 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Lokomotiv to win27%3.61
Draw28%3.59
FC Krasnodar to win45%2.17
Lokomotiv, draw no bet38%fair 2.67
FC Krasnodar, draw no bet63%fair 1.60
Double chance
Lokomotiv or draw55%1.80
FC Krasnodar or draw73%1.35
Lokomotiv or FC Krasnodar (no draw)72%1.36
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%1.92
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.39
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 6.99
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.15
Under 2.5 goals49%2.03
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.42
BTTS
Both teams to score57%1.66
Not both teams to score43%2.12
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.87
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29
Team goals
Lokomotiv to score69%fair 1.44
FC Krasnodar to score79%fair 1.27
Lokomotiv clean sheet21%fair 4.76
FC Krasnodar clean sheet31%fair 3.26
Lokomotiv to win to nil19%fair 5.18
FC Krasnodar to win to nil28%fair 3.53
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.9%
0-110.1%
1-29.3%
0-27.9%
1-07.6%
2-17%
Half-time / full-time
FC Krasnodar / FC Krasnodar27.9%
Lokomotiv / Lokomotiv16.4%
Draw / FC Krasnodar15.6%
Draw / Draw14.9%
Draw / Lokomotiv10.6%
Questions about Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar
Who will win Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar?
The model gives FC Krasnodar the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 51% backs the same picture with less variance.
Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Lokomotiv find the net in 69% of simulated matches and FC Krasnodar in 79%.
What time does Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar kick off?
Kick-off is 16:30 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.