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Liga II Round 12 Saturday, 31 October 2026 FT
Popești-LeordeniHomeLWWWW
2:1Half-time 2:1
Metalul BuzăuAwayWWDWL
342838
Popești-Leordeni winDrawMetalul Buzău win
Kick-off
Sat 31 Oct
Expected goals
2.65
1.28 : 1.37
Favourite
38%
Metalul Buzău
Over 2.5 goals
49%
model chance
Both teams to score
57%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Best odds for Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.713.082.331.861.811.662.05Bet
22Bet2.753.672.301.692.101.622.21Bet
BC.Game2.683.352.341.722.021.552.20Bet
Betwinner2.753.672.301.742.101.622.21Bet
Melbet2.753.672.301.742.101.622.21Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Metalul Buzău to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău prediction: Popești-Leordeni 2.75 (Betwinner), draw 3.67 (Betwinner), Metalul Buzău 2.34 (BC.Game).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.86 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.10 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.66 (1xBet) and no 2.21 (Betwinner).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

72%

Our prediction

Popești-Leordeni or Metalul Buzău (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.28 : 1.37-10.3% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance2.10
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.66
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.35fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.06fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Metalul Buzău, full-time Metalul Buzău
23% chance4.35fair
First halfFirst-half goal
70% chance1.43fair

Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău prediction

Our Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău prediction and pick

The Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Liga II on Saturday, 31 October 2026 gives Popești-Leordeni a 34% chance, Metalul Buzău 38% and the draw 28%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

The goal expectancy is 2.65 in total, split 1.28 to Popești-Leordeni and 1.37 to Metalul Buzău. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 49% and both teams to score 57%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău is popești-Leordeni or Metalul Buzău (no draw), a 72% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.25. That price implies 80%, 8 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău.

Over the last 5 matches Popești-Leordeni stand at 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Metalul Buzău show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

On the goal lines Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău reads 74% for over 1.5, 49% for over 2.5 and 28% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 51%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; Betwinner pay 2.10.

Both teams to score is 57%: Popești-Leordeni find the net in 72% of simulated matches and Metalul Buzău in 75%. Popești-Leordeni keep a clean sheet 25% of the time and Metalul Buzău 28%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.4%, followed by 0-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Metalul Buzău, full-time Metalul Buzău is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 70%.

All markets, Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Popești-Leordeni to win34%2.75
Draw28%3.67
Metalul Buzău to win38%2.34
Popești-Leordeni, draw no bet47%fair 2.13
Metalul Buzău, draw no bet53%fair 1.88

Double chance

Popești-Leordeni or draw62%1.57
Metalul Buzău or draw66%1.42
Popești-Leordeni or Metalul Buzău (no draw)72%1.25

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.35
Over 2.5 goals49%1.86
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.64
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.69
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.88
Under 2.5 goals51%2.10
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.38

BTTS

Both teams to score57%1.66
Not both teams to score43%2.21

Halves

First-half goal70%fair 1.43
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.99
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30

Team goals

Popești-Leordeni to score72%fair 1.39
Metalul Buzău to score75%fair 1.34
Popești-Leordeni clean sheet25%fair 3.94
Metalul Buzău clean sheet28%fair 3.60
Popești-Leordeni to win to nil23%fair 4.27
Metalul Buzău to win to nil26%fair 3.91

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.4%
0-19.7%
1-09%
1-28.5%
2-17.9%
0-07.1%

Half-time / full-time

Metalul Buzău / Metalul Buzău23%
Popești-Leordeni / Popești-Leordeni20.2%
Draw / Draw15.7%
Draw / Metalul Buzău13.8%
Draw / Popești-Leordeni12.6%

Questions about Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău

Who will win Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău?

The model gives Metalul Buzău the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 49% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău?

The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Popești-Leordeni find the net in 72% of simulated matches and Metalul Buzău in 75%.

When do Popești-Leordeni play Metalul Buzău?

Kick-off is 09:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Popești-Leordeni v Metalul BuzăuPopești-Leordeni or Metalul Buzău (no draw), 72%
1.25Bet