Segunda Liga
PenafielHomeWLLW
Mon 2 Nov
FeirenseAwayLLD542620
Penafiel winDrawFeirense win
PenafielHomeWLLWFeirenseAwayLLD- Kick-off Mon 2 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.48 1.59 : 0.89
- Favourite
- 54% Penafiel
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 48% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Best odds for Penafiel vs Feirense
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.89 | 3.38 | 3.94 | 2.09 | 1.68 | 1.89 | 1.81 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.93 | 3.35 | 3.70 | 2.08 | 1.69 | 1.86 | 1.80 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.96 | 3.34 | 3.70 | 2.08 | 1.69 | 1.87 | 1.83 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.96 | 3.34 | 3.70 | 2.08 | 1.69 | 1.87 | 1.83 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Penafiel to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Penafiel vs Feirense are 1.96 for Penafiel at Melbet, 3.38 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.94 for Feirense at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.09 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.69 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.89 (1xBet) and no 1.83 (Betwinner).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
54%
Our prediction
Penafiel to win
Double chancePenafiel or draw
80% chance1.24
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.69
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.83
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.41fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.52fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Penafiel, full-time Penafiel
33% chance3.02fair
Penafiel vs Feirense odds movement
Penafiel win1.96+0.05
Draw3.38-0.22
Feirense win3.94-0.27
Over 2.5 goals2.09-0.03
Under 2.5 goals1.69-0.03
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:58 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Penafiel vs Feirense prediction
Penafiel vs Feirense prediction and best bet
Penafiel vs Feirense prediction for the Segunda Liga on Monday, 2 November 2026: the model makes Penafiel a narrow favourite at 54%, with the draw at 26% and Feirense at 21%.
Penafiel are expected to score 1.59 and Feirense 0.89, so the total line is 2.48 goals; over 2.5 lands at 45% and BTTS at 48%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Penafiel vs Feirense is penafiel to win, a 54% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.96 at Melbet, which implies 51%, so the model sits 3 points above the market.
That gap is worth 5.4% on a flat stake, which makes the pick a value bet as well as a probable outcome.
For a safer line, penafiel or draw covers 80% of outcomes at 1.24.
Penafiel average 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 4, Feirense 0.3 and 1.0 across 3.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Penafiel vs Feirense
Under 2.5 goals is rated 55% and under 3.5 76%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 71% and over 2.5 at 45%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.69 at BC.Game.
BTTS yes stands at 48%. Penafiel score in 80% of simulations against a 20% clean sheet for Feirense; Feirense score in 59% while Penafiel shut them out 41% of the time.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 13.3%, then 1-1 at 11.9% and 2-0 at 10.6%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Penafiel, full-time Penafiel leads at 33%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Penafiel vs Feirense
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 54% / 26% / 21% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Penafiel to win54%1.96
Draw26%3.38
Feirense to win21%3.94
Penafiel, draw no bet72%fair 1.38
Feirense, draw no bet28%fair 3.62
Double chance
Penafiel or draw80%1.24
Feirense or draw46%1.82
Penafiel or Feirense (no draw)74%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.41
Over 2.5 goals45%2.09
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.20
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.43
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.44
Under 2.5 goals55%1.69
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.31
BTTS
Both teams to score48%1.89
Not both teams to score52%1.83
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.49
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.26
Second-half goal74%fair 1.34
Team goals
Penafiel to score80%fair 1.26
Feirense to score59%fair 1.70
Penafiel clean sheet41%fair 2.43
Feirense clean sheet20%fair 4.90
Penafiel to win to nil38%fair 2.65
Feirense to win to nil19%fair 5.32
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-013.3%
1-111.9%
2-010.6%
2-19.4%
0-08.4%
0-17.5%
Half-time / full-time
Penafiel / Penafiel33.1%
Draw / Penafiel18.3%
Draw / Draw16.2%
Feirense / Feirense11.5%
Draw / Feirense8.4%
Questions about Penafiel vs Feirense
Who will win Penafiel vs Feirense?
The model gives Penafiel the best chance at 54%, with the draw at 26%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Penafiel vs Feirense correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 45% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Penafiel vs Feirense?
The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Penafiel find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Feirense in 59%.
When is Penafiel vs Feirense and where is the result shown?
Penafiel vs Feirense starts at 18:00 UTC on Monday, 2 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.