Segunda Liga
Benfica BHomeWDW
3:1Half-time 1:1
ChavesAwayLDWWL412732
Benfica B winDrawChaves win
Benfica BHomeWDWChavesAwayLDWWL- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.71 1.46 : 1.25
- Favourite
- 41% Benfica B
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 56% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Benfica B vs Chaves betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.34 | 3.40 | 2.79 | 1.77 | 1.97 | 1.61 | 2.18 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.37 | 3.40 | 2.83 | 1.89 | 1.91 | 1.68 | 2.11 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.32 | 3.45 | 2.72 | 1.76 | 1.98 | 1.59 | 2.16 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.37 | 3.40 | 2.83 | 1.89 | 1.91 | 1.68 | 2.11 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.37 | 3.40 | 2.83 | 1.89 | 1.91 | 1.68 | 2.11 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Benfica B to win partner prices
Melbet pay the best Benfica B price at 2.37, BC.Game lead the draw at 3.45 and Melbet have Chaves longest at 2.83.
The best-price payout across the three results is 93.9%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.89 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.98 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.68 (22Bet) and no 2.18 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
73%
Our prediction
Benfica B or Chaves (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
51% chance1.89
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.68
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.33fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Benfica B, full-time Benfica B
25% chance3.98fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.42fair
Benfica B vs Chaves prediction
Benfica B vs Chaves prediction, who wins and at what price
The Benfica B vs Chaves prediction leans to Benfica B: 41% against 32% for Chaves, with 27% left for the draw, in the Segunda Liga on Saturday, 31 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.46 for Benfica B and 1.25 for Chaves, a total of 2.71, which puts over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 56%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Benfica B or Chaves (no draw) is the main selection, rated 73%. At 1.29 with Melbet the market prices it at 78%, against 73% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Benfica B vs Chaves.
Benfica B average 1.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded across their last 3, Chaves 1.2 and 2.0 across 5.
Benfica B vs Chaves goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
On the goal lines Benfica B vs Chaves reads 75% for over 1.5, 51% for over 2.5 and 29% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 49%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.89 at Melbet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 56%, built from Benfica B scoring in 77% of runs and Chaves in 71%; clean sheets come at 29% for Benfica B and 23% for Chaves.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.1%, then 1-0 at 9.7% and 2-1 at 8.9%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Benfica B, full-time Benfica B leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Benfica B vs Chaves
The grid built from 1.46 and 1.25 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Benfica B to win41%2.37
Draw27%3.45
Chaves to win32%2.83
Benfica B, draw no bet57%fair 1.77
Chaves, draw no bet44%fair 2.30
Double chance
Benfica B or draw68%1.40
Chaves or draw59%1.54
Benfica B or Chaves (no draw)73%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.33
Over 2.5 goals51%1.89
Over 3.5 goals29%fair 3.47
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.19
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 4.05
Under 2.5 goals49%1.98
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.40
BTTS
Both teams to score56%1.68
Not both teams to score44%2.18
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.42
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.91
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29
Team goals
Benfica B to score77%fair 1.30
Chaves to score71%fair 1.40
Benfica B clean sheet29%fair 3.48
Chaves clean sheet23%fair 4.31
Benfica B to win to nil26%fair 3.79
Chaves to win to nil21%fair 4.67
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.1%
1-09.7%
2-18.9%
0-18.3%
1-27.6%
2-07.1%
Half-time / full-time
Benfica B / Benfica B25.1%
Chaves / Chaves18.7%
Draw / Draw15.3%
Draw / Benfica B14.5%
Draw / Chaves11.7%
Questions about Benfica B vs Chaves
Who will win Benfica B vs Chaves?
The model gives Benfica B the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Benfica B vs Chaves correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 51% backs the same picture with less variance.
Benfica B vs Chaves both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Benfica B find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Chaves in 71%.
What time does Benfica B vs Chaves kick off?
Benfica B vs Chaves starts at 18:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.