Segunda Liga
Lusitânia LourosaHomeWDWDD
1:1Half-time 1:1
FarenseAwayWWWLD382933
Lusitânia Lourosa winDrawFarense win
Lusitânia LourosaHomeWDWDDFarenseAwayWWWLD- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.49 1.29 : 1.20
- Favourite
- 38% Lusitânia Lourosa
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 51% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.60 | 3.10 | 2.64 | 2.12 | 1.66 | 1.83 | 1.87 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.69 | 3.18 | 2.61 | 2.21 | 1.67 | 1.87 | 1.87 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.66 | 3.20 | 2.52 | 2.06 | 1.69 | 1.81 | 1.85 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.69 | 3.18 | 2.61 | 2.21 | 1.67 | 1.87 | 1.87 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.69 | 3.18 | 2.61 | 2.21 | 1.67 | 1.87 | 1.87 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Lusitânia Lourosa to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense prediction: Lusitânia Lourosa 2.69 (Melbet), draw 3.20 (BC.Game), Farense 2.64 (1xBet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 94.1%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.21 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.69 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.87 (Melbet) and no 1.87 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
71%
Our prediction
Lusitânia Lourosa or Farense (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.69
BTTSBoth teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.41fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.81fairWon
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Lusitânia Lourosa, full-time Lusitânia Lourosa
23% chance4.42fairLost
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.48fairWon
Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense odds movement
Lusitânia Lourosa win2.69unchanged
Draw3.20-0.05
Farense win2.64-0.20
Over 2.5 goals2.21unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.69-0.02
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:58 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense prediction
Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense prediction, who wins and at what price
Nothing separates the sides in the Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense prediction for Sunday, 1 November 2026: 38% home, 29% draw and 33% away in the Segunda Liga. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Lusitânia Lourosa are expected to score 1.29 and Farense 1.20, so the total line is 2.49 goals; over 2.5 lands at 45% and BTTS at 51%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense is lusitânia Lourosa or Farense (no draw), a 71% chance. At 1.32 with Betwinner the market prices it at 76%, against 71% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense.
Form check: Lusitânia Lourosa have won 2 of their last 5 with 9 scored and 6 conceded, Farense 3 of 5 scoring 11 and conceding 6.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense
On the goal lines Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense reads 71% for over 1.5, 45% for over 2.5 and 24% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 55%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; BC.Game pay 1.69.
Both teams to score is 51%: Lusitânia Lourosa find the net in 73% of simulated matches and Farense in 70%. Lusitânia Lourosa keep a clean sheet 30% of the time and Farense 28%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.8%, then 1-0 at 10.7% and 0-1 at 9.9%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Lusitânia Lourosa, full-time Lusitânia Lourosa is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 67%.
Every market rated for Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense
The grid built from 1.29 and 1.20 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Lusitânia Lourosa to win38%2.69
Draw29%3.20
Farense to win33%2.64
Lusitânia Lourosa, draw no bet53%fair 1.88
Farense, draw no bet47%fair 2.14
Double chance
Lusitânia Lourosa or draw67%1.46
Farense or draw62%1.43
Lusitânia Lourosa or Farense (no draw)71%1.32
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.41
Over 2.5 goals45%2.21
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.17
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.35
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.46
Under 2.5 goals55%1.69
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.32
BTTS
Both teams to score51%1.87
Not both teams to score49%1.87
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.48
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.25
Second-half goal75%fair 1.34
Team goals
Lusitânia Lourosa to score73%fair 1.38
Farense to score70%fair 1.43
Lusitânia Lourosa clean sheet30%fair 3.32
Farense clean sheet28%fair 3.64
Lusitânia Lourosa to win to nil28%fair 3.61
Farense to win to nil25%fair 3.95
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.8%
1-010.7%
0-19.9%
0-08.3%
2-18.3%
1-27.7%
Half-time / full-time
Lusitânia Lourosa / Lusitânia Lourosa22.6%
Farense / Farense19.7%
Draw / Draw16.9%
Draw / Lusitânia Lourosa14%
Draw / Farense12.7%
Questions about Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense
Who is favourite in Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense?
The model gives Lusitânia Lourosa the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 45% backs the same picture with less variance.
Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Lusitânia Lourosa find the net in 73% of simulated matches and Farense in 70%.
What time does Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense kick off?
Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense starts at 15:30 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.