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Ekstraklasa Round 11 Saturday, 17 October 2026 FT
GKS KatowiceHomeWLLLW
0:1Half-time 0:0
Pogon SzczecinAwayWWWW
482626
GKS Katowice winDrawPogon Szczecin win
Kick-off
Sat 17 Oct
Expected goals
3.16
1.83 : 1.33
Favourite
48%
GKS Katowice
Over 2.5 goals
61%
model chance
Both teams to score
64%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.943.743.361.512.261.492.44Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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GKS Katowice to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin are 1.94 for GKS Katowice at 1xBet, 3.74 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.36 for Pogon Szczecin at 1xBet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.51 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.26 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.49 (1xBet) and no 2.44 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

74%

Our prediction

GKS Katowice or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.83 : 1.33-5.3% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
61% chance1.51
BTTSBoth teams to score
64% chance1.49
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.71fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time GKS Katowice, full-time GKS Katowice
31% chance3.27fair
First halfFirst-half goal
76% chance1.32fair

GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin prediction

GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin prediction and best bet

GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin prediction for the Ekstraklasa on Saturday, 17 October 2026: the model makes GKS Katowice marginally ahead at 48%, with the draw at 26% and Pogon Szczecin at 26%.

Expected goals are 1.83 for GKS Katowice and 1.33 for Pogon Szczecin, a total of 3.16, which puts over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 64%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is gKS Katowice or draw at 74%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.28. That price implies 78%, 4 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin.

Over the last 5 matches GKS Katowice stand at 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Pogon Szczecin show 4 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in 4.

Goals forecast for GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin reads 82% for over 1.5, 61% for over 2.5 and 39% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 39%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 61%, best priced 1.51 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 64%. GKS Katowice score in 84% of simulations against a 16% clean sheet for Pogon Szczecin; Pogon Szczecin score in 74% while GKS Katowice shut them out 26% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.3%, then 2-1 at 9.4% and 1-0 at 7.8%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time GKS Katowice, full-time GKS Katowice leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 48% / 26% / 26% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

GKS Katowice to win48%1.94
Draw26%3.74
Pogon Szczecin to win26%3.36
GKS Katowice, draw no bet65%fair 1.55
Pogon Szczecin, draw no bet35%fair 2.82

Double chance

GKS Katowice or draw74%1.28
Pogon Szczecin or draw52%1.77
GKS Katowice or Pogon Szczecin (no draw)74%1.23

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals61%1.51
Over 3.5 goals39%fair 2.57
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.72
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.65
Under 2.5 goals39%2.26
Under 3.5 goals61%fair 1.64

BTTS

Both teams to score64%1.49
Not both teams to score36%2.44

Halves

First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.40
Second-half goal82%fair 1.21

Team goals

GKS Katowice to score84%fair 1.19
Pogon Szczecin to score74%fair 1.36
GKS Katowice clean sheet26%fair 3.79
Pogon Szczecin clean sheet16%fair 6.25
GKS Katowice to win to nil24%fair 4.12
Pogon Szczecin to win to nil15%fair 6.76

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.3%
2-19.4%
1-07.8%
2-07.1%
1-26.9%
2-26.3%

Half-time / full-time

GKS Katowice / GKS Katowice30.6%
Pogon Szczecin / Pogon Szczecin16.1%
Draw / GKS Katowice15.4%
Draw / Draw12.4%
Draw / Pogon Szczecin9.7%

Questions about GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin

Who will win GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin?

The model gives GKS Katowice the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 61% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin?

The BTTS yes line is rated 64%. GKS Katowice find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Pogon Szczecin in 74%.

When do GKS Katowice play Pogon Szczecin?

Kick-off is 15:30 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, GKS Katowice v Pogon SzczecinGKS Katowice or draw, 74%
1.28Bet