Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atletico prediction

Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atletico prediction, who wins and at what price

The Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atletico prediction leans to Sport Huancayo: 67% against 14% for Alianza Atletico, with 19% left for the draw, in the Peru Primera División on Saturday, 24 October 2026.

Expected goals are 2.29 for Sport Huancayo and 0.95 for Alianza Atletico, a total of 3.24, which puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 56%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is sport Huancayo to win at 67%. The best price in our comparison is 1.45 at 1xBet, which implies 69%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.

Sport Huancayo or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 86% chance, priced 1.09.

With the draw down at 19%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Sport Huancayo average 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Alianza Atletico 1.8 and 2.2 across 5.

Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atletico over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 83%, over 2.5 at 63%, over 3.5 at 41%; under 2.5 is 38% and under 3.5 is 59%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 63%, best priced 1.50 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 56%. Sport Huancayo score in 90% of simulations against a 10% clean sheet for Alianza Atletico; Alianza Atletico score in 61% while Sport Huancayo shut them out 39% of the time.

Correct score: 2-0 leads at 10.3%, then 2-1 at 9.8% and 1-0 at 9%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Sport Huancayo, full-time Sport Huancayo leads at 45%. A goal before the break is rated 77%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.