Eliteserien
LillestromHomeWLWWW
Sun 8 Nov
AalesundAwayLWLWL542125
Lillestrom winDrawAalesund win
LillestromHomeWLWWWAalesundAwayLWLWL- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.72 2.22 : 1.50
- Favourite
- 54% Lillestrom
- Over 2.5 goals
- 71% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 70% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Lillestrom vs Aalesund
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.83 | 4.31 | 3.74 | 1.34 | 3.07 | 1.35 | 2.94 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.82 | 4.28 | 3.70 | 1.34 | 3.07 | 1.35 | 2.94 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.78 | 4.20 | 3.60 | 1.36 | 2.94 | 1.36 | 2.78 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.82 | 4.28 | 3.70 | 1.34 | 3.07 | 1.35 | 2.94 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.82 | 4.28 | 3.70 | 1.34 | 3.07 | 1.35 | 2.94 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Lillestrom to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Lillestrom vs Aalesund are 1.83 for Lillestrom at 1xBet, 4.31 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.74 for Aalesund at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.36 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 3.07 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.36 (BC.Game) and no 2.94 (Melbet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
54%
Our prediction
Lillestrom to win
Double chanceLillestrom or Aalesund (no draw)
79% chance1.23
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
71% chance1.36
BTTSBoth teams to score
70% chance1.36
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
89% chance1.13fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance11.11fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Lillestrom, full-time Lillestrom
35% chance2.88fair
Lillestrom vs Aalesund prediction
Lillestrom vs Aalesund prediction, who wins and at what price
The Lillestrom vs Aalesund prediction leans to Lillestrom: 54% against 25% for Aalesund, with 21% left for the draw, in the Eliteserien on Sunday, 8 November 2026.
The goal expectancy is 3.72 in total, split 2.22 to Lillestrom and 1.50 to Aalesund. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 71% and both teams to score 70%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Lillestrom vs Aalesund is lillestrom to win, a 54% chance. At 1.83 with 1xBet the market prices it at 55%, against 54% from the model.
Lillestrom or Aalesund (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 79% chance, priced 1.23.
With the draw down at 21%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Over the last 5 matches Lillestrom stand at 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Aalesund show 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in 5.
Goals forecast for Lillestrom vs Aalesund with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Lillestrom vs Aalesund reads 89% for over 1.5, 71% for over 2.5 and 51% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 29%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 71%, best priced 1.36 at BC.Game.
BTTS yes stands at 70%. Lillestrom score in 89% of simulations against a 11% clean sheet for Aalesund; Aalesund score in 78% while Lillestrom shut them out 22% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 70%.
Correct score: 2-1 leads at 9%, then 1-1 at 8.1% and 2-2 at 6.7%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Lillestrom, full-time Lillestrom is the top combination at 35%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 81%.
Every market for Lillestrom vs Aalesund
The grid built from 2.22 and 1.50 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Lillestrom to win54%1.83
Draw21%4.31
Aalesund to win25%3.74
Lillestrom, draw no bet68%fair 1.47
Aalesund, draw no bet32%fair 3.13
Double chance
Lillestrom or draw75%1.28
Aalesund or draw46%2.00
Lillestrom or Aalesund (no draw)79%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals89%fair 1.13
Over 2.5 goals71%1.36
Over 3.5 goals51%fair 1.96
Over 4.5 goals32%fair 3.15
Under 1.5 goals11%fair 8.77
Under 2.5 goals29%3.07
Under 3.5 goals49%fair 2.04
BTTS
Both teams to score70%1.36
Not both teams to score30%2.94
Halves
First-half goal81%fair 1.23
Over 1.5 first-half goals50%fair 2.00
Second-half goal87%fair 1.15
Team goals
Lillestrom to score89%fair 1.12
Aalesund to score78%fair 1.29
Lillestrom clean sheet22%fair 4.48
Aalesund clean sheet11%fair 9.17
Lillestrom to win to nil21%fair 4.88
Aalesund to win to nil10%fair 10.00
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-19%
1-18.1%
2-26.7%
3-16.6%
1-26.1%
2-06%
Half-time / full-time
Lillestrom / Lillestrom34.7%
Draw / Lillestrom15.3%
Aalesund / Aalesund15%
Draw / Draw10%
Draw / Aalesund8.4%
Questions about Lillestrom vs Aalesund
Who is favourite in Lillestrom vs Aalesund?
The model gives Lillestrom the best chance at 54%, with the draw at 21%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Lillestrom vs Aalesund correct score: what does the model say?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 71% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Lillestrom vs Aalesund?
The BTTS yes line is rated 70%. Lillestrom find the net in 89% of simulated matches and Aalesund in 78%.
What time does Lillestrom vs Aalesund kick off?
Kick-off is 16:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.