Eliteserien
Kristiansund BKHomeLLDLW
Sat 7 Nov
ValerengaAwayLWWLW302446
Kristiansund BK winDrawValerenga win
Kristiansund BKHomeLLDLWValerengaAwayLWWLW- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.53 1.57 : 1.96
- Favourite
- 46% Valerenga
- Over 2.5 goals
- 68% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 70% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.16 | 4.02 | 2.07 | 1.41 | 2.80 | 1.36 | 2.89 | Bet |
 22Bet | 3.14 | 4.00 | 2.06 | 1.41 | 2.80 | 1.36 | 2.89 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 3.10 | 3.80 | 2.04 | 1.43 | 2.66 | 1.39 | 2.68 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.14 | 4.00 | 2.06 | 1.41 | 2.80 | 1.36 | 2.89 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.14 | 4.00 | 2.06 | 1.41 | 2.80 | 1.36 | 2.89 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Valerenga to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga are 3.16 for Kristiansund BK at 1xBet, 4.02 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.07 for Valerenga at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.43 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.80 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.39 (BC.Game) and no 2.89 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
77%
Our prediction
Kristiansund BK or Valerenga (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
68% chance1.43
BTTSBoth teams to score
70% chance1.39
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
87% chance1.15fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
9% chance11.11fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Valerenga, full-time Valerenga
29% chance3.40fair
First halfFirst-half goal
80% chance1.26fair
Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga prediction
Our Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga prediction and pick
Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga prediction for the Eliteserien on Saturday, 7 November 2026: the model makes Valerenga marginally ahead at 46%, with the draw at 24% and Kristiansund BK at 30%.
The goal expectancy is 3.53 in total, split 1.57 to Kristiansund BK and 1.96 to Valerenga. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 68% and both teams to score 70%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is kristiansund BK or Valerenga (no draw) at 77%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.25. That price implies 80%, 4 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga.
Form check: Kristiansund BK have won 1 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 13 conceded, Valerenga 3 of 5 scoring 11 and conceding 6.
Goals forecast for Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 32% and under 3.5 53%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 87% and over 2.5 at 68%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 68%; BC.Game pay 1.43.
BTTS yes stands at 70%. Kristiansund BK score in 79% of simulations against a 21% clean sheet for Valerenga; Valerenga score in 86% while Kristiansund BK shut them out 14% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 70%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9%, followed by 1-2 (8.8%) and 2-1 (7.1%).
With the top scoreline at 9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Valerenga, full-time Valerenga leads at 29%. A goal before the break is rated 80%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 30% / 24% / 46% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Kristiansund BK to win30%3.16
Draw24%4.02
Valerenga to win46%2.07
Kristiansund BK, draw no bet40%fair 2.53
Valerenga, draw no bet61%fair 1.65
Double chance
Kristiansund BK or draw54%1.77
Valerenga or draw70%1.37
Kristiansund BK or Valerenga (no draw)77%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 2.5 goals68%1.43
Over 3.5 goals47%fair 2.13
Over 4.5 goals28%fair 3.57
Under 1.5 goals13%fair 7.52
Under 2.5 goals32%2.80
Under 3.5 goals53%fair 1.89
BTTS
Both teams to score70%1.39
Not both teams to score30%2.89
Halves
First-half goal80%fair 1.26
Over 1.5 first-half goals47%fair 2.12
Second-half goal86%fair 1.17
Team goals
Kristiansund BK to score79%fair 1.26
Valerenga to score86%fair 1.16
Kristiansund BK clean sheet14%fair 7.09
Valerenga clean sheet21%fair 4.81
Kristiansund BK to win to nil13%fair 7.69
Valerenga to win to nil19%fair 5.24
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-19%
1-28.8%
2-17.1%
2-26.9%
1-35.8%
0-15.7%
Half-time / full-time
Valerenga / Valerenga29.4%
Kristiansund BK / Kristiansund BK18.5%
Draw / Valerenga14.1%
Draw / Draw11%
Draw / Kristiansund BK10.1%
Questions about Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga
Who will win Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga?
The model gives Valerenga the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 24%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 68% backs the same picture with less variance.
Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 70%. Kristiansund BK find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Valerenga in 86%.
When do Kristiansund BK play Valerenga?
Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.