Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 FFHomeWLWWL
2:1Half-time 0:1
AalesundAwayLWLWL512425
Sarpsborg 08 FF winDrawAalesund win
Sarpsborg 08 FFHomeWLWWLAalesundAwayLWLWL- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.60 2.11 : 1.49
- Favourite
- 51% Sarpsborg 08 FF
- Over 2.5 goals
- 69% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 71% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.87 | 4.08 | 3.74 | 1.38 | 2.93 | 1.36 | 2.90 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.88 | 4.16 | 3.56 | 1.30 | 3.48 | 1.31 | 3.42 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.85 | 4.10 | 3.55 | 1.31 | 3.20 | 1.33 | 3.05 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.89 | 4.08 | 3.58 | 1.30 | 3.48 | 1.31 | 3.42 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.88 | 4.16 | 3.56 | 1.30 | 3.48 | 1.31 | 3.42 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Sarpsborg 08 FF to win partner prices
Betwinner pay the best Sarpsborg 08 FF price at 1.89, 22Bet lead the draw at 4.16 and 1xBet have Aalesund longest at 3.74.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.38 (1xBet) and under 2.5 3.48 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.36 (1xBet) and no 3.42 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
51%
Our prediction
Sarpsborg 08 FF to win
Double chanceSarpsborg 08 FF or Aalesund (no draw)
77% chance1.25
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
69% chance1.38
BTTSBoth teams to score
71% chance1.36
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
87% chance1.14fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance10.99fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sarpsborg 08 FF, full-time Sarpsborg 08 FF
33% chance3.02fair
Sarpsborg 08 FF v Aalesund head to head
1Sarpsborg 08 FF wins
0Draws
0Aalesund wins
- 11 Oct 26Aalesund2:4Sarpsborg 08 FF
1 meeting since coverage began, 6 goals in total: Sarpsborg 08 FF scored 4, Aalesund scored 2.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund prediction
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund prediction, who wins and at what price
Sarpsborg 08 FF are a narrow favourite in the Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund prediction, rated 51% to win this Eliteserien match on Sunday, 25 October 2026. Aalesund sit at 26% and the draw at 24%.
Expected goals are 2.11 for Sarpsborg 08 FF and 1.49 for Aalesund, a total of 3.60, which puts over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 71%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is sarpsborg 08 FF to win at 51%. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.89. That price implies 53%, 2 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
For a safer line, sarpsborg 08 FF or Aalesund (no draw) covers 77% of outcomes at 1.25.
Form check: Sarpsborg 08 FF have won 3 of their last 5 with 11 scored and 12 conceded, Aalesund 2 of 5 scoring 12 and conceding 11.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund reads 87% for over 1.5, 69% for over 2.5 and 49% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 31%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 69%, best priced 1.38 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 71%. Sarpsborg 08 FF score in 88% of simulations against a 12% clean sheet for Aalesund; Aalesund score in 78% while Sarpsborg 08 FF shut them out 23% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 71%.
Correct score: 2-1 leads at 9.1%, then 1-1 at 8.6% and 2-2 at 6.8%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Sarpsborg 08 FF, full-time Sarpsborg 08 FF is the top combination at 33%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 80%.
Every market rated for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Sarpsborg 08 FF to win51%1.89
Draw24%4.16
Aalesund to win26%3.74
Sarpsborg 08 FF, draw no bet66%fair 1.51
Aalesund, draw no bet34%fair 2.97
Double chance
Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw74%1.29
Aalesund or draw49%1.95
Sarpsborg 08 FF or Aalesund (no draw)77%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals87%fair 1.14
Over 2.5 goals69%1.38
Over 3.5 goals49%fair 2.06
Over 4.5 goals29%fair 3.41
Under 1.5 goals13%fair 7.94
Under 2.5 goals31%3.48
Under 3.5 goals52%fair 1.94
BTTS
Both teams to score71%1.36
Not both teams to score29%3.42
Halves
First-half goal80%fair 1.25
Over 1.5 first-half goals48%fair 2.07
Second-half goal86%fair 1.16
Team goals
Sarpsborg 08 FF to score88%fair 1.14
Aalesund to score78%fair 1.29
Sarpsborg 08 FF clean sheet23%fair 4.44
Aalesund clean sheet12%fair 8.26
Sarpsborg 08 FF to win to nil21%fair 4.83
Aalesund to win to nil11%fair 8.93
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-19.1%
1-18.6%
2-26.8%
1-26.4%
3-16.4%
2-06.1%
Half-time / full-time
Sarpsborg 08 FF / Sarpsborg 08 FF33.1%
Aalesund / Aalesund15.9%
Draw / Sarpsborg 08 FF15.1%
Draw / Draw10.5%
Draw / Aalesund8.9%
Questions about Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund
Sarpsborg 08 FF or Aalesund: which side does the model back?
The model gives Sarpsborg 08 FF the best chance at 51%, with the draw at 24%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund correct score: what does the model say?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 69%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 71%. Sarpsborg 08 FF find the net in 88% of simulated matches and Aalesund in 78%.
When do Sarpsborg 08 FF play Aalesund?
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund starts at 16:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.