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Live 11 UTC
Eliteserien Round 24 Saturday, 17 October 2026 FT
Kristiansund BKHomeLLDLW
1:4Half-time 1:1
AalesundAwayLWLWL
382537
Kristiansund BK winDrawAalesund win
Kick-off
Sat 17 Oct
Expected goals
3.23
1.63 : 1.60
Favourite
38%
Kristiansund BK
Over 2.5 goals
62%
model chance
Both teams to score
66%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.483.782.641.472.351.432.63Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Kristiansund BK to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Kristiansund BK price at 2.48, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.78 and 1xBet have Aalesund longest at 2.64.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.47 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.35 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.43 (1xBet) and no 2.63 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

75%

Our prediction

Kristiansund BK or Aalesund (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.63 : 1.60-3.7% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
62% chance1.47
BTTSBoth teams to score
66% chance1.43
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.20fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.71fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Kristiansund BK, full-time Kristiansund BK
24% chance4.26fair
First halfFirst-half goal
77% chance1.31fair

Kristiansund BK v Aalesund head to head

0Kristiansund BK wins
0Draws
1Aalesund wins
  • 28 Oct 26Kristiansund BK0:2Aalesund

1 meeting since coverage began, 2 goals in total: Kristiansund BK scored 0, Aalesund scored 2.

Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund prediction

Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund prediction and best bet

Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund prediction for the Eliteserien on Saturday, 17 October 2026: the model calls it close, Kristiansund BK 38%, draw 25%, Aalesund 37%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.

The goal expectancy is 3.23 in total, split 1.63 to Kristiansund BK and 1.60 to Aalesund. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 62% and both teams to score 66%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund is kristiansund BK or Aalesund (no draw), a 75% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.28. That price implies 78%, 3 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund.

Kristiansund BK average 1.6 goals scored and 2.6 conceded across their last 5, Aalesund 2.4 and 2.2 across 5.

Goals forecast for Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund reads 83% for over 1.5, 62% for over 2.5 and 40% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 38%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 62%, best priced 1.47 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 66%: Kristiansund BK find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Aalesund in 80%. Kristiansund BK keep a clean sheet 20% of the time and Aalesund 20%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 66%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund: 1-1 (10.3%), 2-1 (8.4%) and 1-2 (8.3%).

With the top scoreline at 10.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Kristiansund BK, full-time Kristiansund BK leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 77%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund

The grid built from 1.63 and 1.60 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Kristiansund BK to win38%2.48
Draw25%3.78
Aalesund to win37%2.64
Kristiansund BK, draw no bet51%fair 1.96
Aalesund, draw no bet49%fair 2.04

Double chance

Kristiansund BK or draw63%1.50
Aalesund or draw62%1.55
Kristiansund BK or Aalesund (no draw)75%1.28

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.20
Over 2.5 goals62%1.47
Over 3.5 goals40%fair 2.48
Over 4.5 goals23%fair 4.44
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 5.99
Under 2.5 goals38%2.35
Under 3.5 goals60%fair 1.68

BTTS

Both teams to score66%1.43
Not both teams to score34%2.63

Halves

First-half goal77%fair 1.31
Over 1.5 first-half goals43%fair 2.35
Second-half goal83%fair 1.20

Team goals

Kristiansund BK to score80%fair 1.24
Aalesund to score80%fair 1.25
Kristiansund BK clean sheet20%fair 4.95
Aalesund clean sheet20%fair 5.10
Kristiansund BK to win to nil19%fair 5.38
Aalesund to win to nil18%fair 5.56

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.3%
2-18.4%
1-28.3%
2-26.7%
1-06.4%
0-16.3%

Half-time / full-time

Kristiansund BK / Kristiansund BK23.5%
Aalesund / Aalesund22.6%
Draw / Kristiansund BK12.7%
Draw / Draw12.4%
Draw / Aalesund12.3%

Questions about Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund

Kristiansund BK or Aalesund: which side does the model back?

The model gives Kristiansund BK the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 25%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What scoreline is most likely in Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 62% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund?

The BTTS yes line is rated 66%. Kristiansund BK find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Aalesund in 80%.

When is Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Kristiansund BK v AalesundKristiansund BK or Aalesund (no draw), 75%
1.28Bet