Skip to the predictions
Live 23 UTC
Eredivisie Round 12 Friday, 6 November 2026 Kick-off
Willem IIHomeLLLWL
Fri 6 Nov
PEC ZwolleAwayLWDLW
332443
Willem II winDrawPEC Zwolle win
Kick-off
Fri 6 Nov
Expected goals
3.31
1.54 : 1.77
Favourite
43%
PEC Zwolle
Over 2.5 goals
64%
model chance
Both teams to score
67%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Willem II vs PEC Zwolle odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.803.702.421.532.441.432.63Bet
22Bet2.773.642.391.532.441.432.63Bet
BC.Game2.703.652.321.522.401.442.56Bet
Betwinner2.773.642.391.532.441.432.63Bet
Melbet2.773.642.391.532.441.432.63Bet
Stake2.703.652.341.512.401.462.47Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

PEC Zwolle to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Willem II vs PEC Zwolle prediction: Willem II 2.80 (1xBet), draw 3.70 (1xBet), PEC Zwolle 2.42 (1xBet).

The best-price payout across the three results is 96.1%, several points better than any single book offers here.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.53 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.44 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.46 (Stake) and no 2.63 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

76%

Our prediction

Willem II or PEC Zwolle (no draw)
StrongExpected goals 1.54 : 1.77-1.2% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
64% chance1.53
BTTSBoth teams to score
67% chance1.46
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.19fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time PEC Zwolle, full-time PEC Zwolle
27% chance3.76fair
First halfFirst-half goal
78% chance1.29fair

Willem II vs PEC Zwolle prediction

Willem II vs PEC Zwolle prediction, who wins and at what price

The Willem II vs PEC Zwolle prediction leans to PEC Zwolle: 43% against 33% for Willem II, with 24% left for the draw, in the Eredivisie on Friday, 6 November 2026.

The goal expectancy is 3.31 in total, split 1.54 to Willem II and 1.77 to PEC Zwolle. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 64% and both teams to score 67%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is willem II or PEC Zwolle (no draw) at 76%. At 1.30 with 1xBet the market prices it at 77%, against 76% from the model.

Form check: Willem II have won 1 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 22 conceded, PEC Zwolle 2 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 5.

Willem II vs PEC Zwolle over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 84%, over 2.5 at 64%, over 3.5 at 42%; under 2.5 is 36% and under 3.5 is 58%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 64%, best priced 1.53 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 67%: Willem II find the net in 79% of simulated matches and PEC Zwolle in 83%. Willem II keep a clean sheet 17% of the time and PEC Zwolle 21%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Willem II vs PEC Zwolle: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8.8%) and 2-1 (7.7%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time PEC Zwolle, full-time PEC Zwolle is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 78%.

Every market rated for Willem II vs PEC Zwolle

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 33% / 24% / 43% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Willem II to win33%2.80
Draw24%3.70
PEC Zwolle to win43%2.42
Willem II, draw no bet44%fair 2.28
PEC Zwolle, draw no bet56%fair 1.78

Double chance

Willem II or draw57%1.59
PEC Zwolle or draw67%1.46
Willem II or PEC Zwolle (no draw)76%1.30

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 2.5 goals64%1.53
Over 3.5 goals42%fair 2.37
Over 4.5 goals24%fair 4.18
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.37
Under 2.5 goals36%2.44
Under 3.5 goals58%fair 1.73

BTTS

Both teams to score67%1.46
Not both teams to score33%2.63

Halves

First-half goal78%fair 1.29
Over 1.5 first-half goals44%fair 2.28
Second-half goal84%fair 1.19

Team goals

Willem II to score79%fair 1.27
PEC Zwolle to score83%fair 1.20
Willem II clean sheet17%fair 5.88
PEC Zwolle clean sheet21%fair 4.67
Willem II to win to nil16%fair 6.37
PEC Zwolle to win to nil20%fair 5.08

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110%
1-28.8%
2-17.7%
2-26.8%
0-16.5%
0-25.7%

Half-time / full-time

PEC Zwolle / PEC Zwolle26.6%
Willem II / Willem II20%
Draw / PEC Zwolle13.7%
Draw / Draw12%
Draw / Willem II11.1%

Questions about Willem II vs PEC Zwolle

Who is favourite in Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?

The model gives PEC Zwolle the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 24%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What scoreline is most likely in Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 64% backs the same picture with less variance.

Willem II vs PEC Zwolle both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 67%. Willem II find the net in 79% of simulated matches and PEC Zwolle in 83%.

When is Willem II vs PEC Zwolle and where is the result shown?

Willem II vs PEC Zwolle starts at 19:00 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Willem II v PEC ZwolleWillem II or PEC Zwolle (no draw), 76%
1.30Bet