Liga MX
Santos LagunaHomeWWWLW
1:0Half-time 0:0
NecaxaAwayDLLDL542323
Santos Laguna winDrawNecaxa win
Santos LagunaHomeWWWLWNecaxaAwayDLLDL- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.29 2.01 : 1.28
- Favourite
- 54% Santos Laguna
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 63% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Santos Laguna vs Necaxa
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.78 | 3.98 | 3.74 | 1.41 | 2.52 | 1.44 | 2.60 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.78 | 4.16 | 3.96 | 1.48 | 2.63 | 1.51 | 2.52 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.76 | 4.00 | 4.10 | 1.46 | 2.54 | 1.48 | 2.46 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.78 | 4.16 | 3.96 | 1.48 | 2.63 | 1.51 | 2.52 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.78 | 4.16 | 3.96 | 1.48 | 2.63 | 1.51 | 2.52 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.78 | 4.10 | 3.95 | 1.47 | 2.55 | 1.49 | 2.44 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Santos Laguna to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Santos Laguna vs Necaxa prediction: Santos Laguna 1.78 (Melbet), draw 4.16 (Melbet), Necaxa 4.10 (BC.Game).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.7%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.48 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.63 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.51 (22Bet) and no 2.60 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
54%
Our prediction
Santos Laguna to win
Double chanceSantos Laguna or Necaxa (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
BTTSBoth teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.19fairLost
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.42fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Santos Laguna, full-time Santos Laguna
35% chance2.89fairLost
Santos Laguna vs Necaxa odds movement
Santos Laguna win1.78-0.07
Draw4.16-0.09
Necaxa win4.10unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.48-0.04
Under 2.5 goals2.63-0.02
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Santos Laguna vs Necaxa prediction
Santos Laguna vs Necaxa prediction and best bet
Santos Laguna vs Necaxa prediction for the Liga MX on Sunday, 1 November 2026: the model makes Santos Laguna a narrow favourite at 54%, with the draw at 23% and Necaxa at 23%.
Santos Laguna are expected to score 2.01 and Necaxa 1.28, so the total line is 3.29 goals; over 2.5 lands at 64% and BTTS at 63%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is santos Laguna to win at 54%. The best price in our comparison is 1.78 at Melbet, which implies 56%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Santos Laguna vs Necaxa.
For a safer line, santos Laguna or Necaxa (no draw) covers 77% of outcomes at 1.23.
Form check: Santos Laguna have won 4 of their last 5 with 11 scored and 5 conceded, Necaxa 0 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 8.
Goals forecast for Santos Laguna vs Necaxa with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Santos Laguna vs Necaxa reads 84% for over 1.5, 64% for over 2.5 and 42% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 37%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 64%; Melbet pay 1.48.
The chance of both teams scoring is 63%, built from Santos Laguna scoring in 87% of runs and Necaxa in 72%; clean sheets come at 28% for Santos Laguna and 13% for Necaxa.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.
Correct score: 2-1 leads at 9.6%, then 1-1 at 9.6% and 2-0 at 7.5%.
With the top scoreline at 9.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Santos Laguna vs Necaxa; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Santos Laguna, full-time Santos Laguna is the top combination at 35%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 77%.
All markets, Santos Laguna vs Necaxa
The grid built from 2.01 and 1.28 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Santos Laguna to win54%1.78
Draw23%4.16
Necaxa to win23%4.10
Santos Laguna, draw no bet70%fair 1.44
Necaxa, draw no bet30%fair 3.29
Double chance
Santos Laguna or draw77%1.25
Necaxa or draw46%2.03
Santos Laguna or Necaxa (no draw)77%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 2.5 goals64%1.48
Over 3.5 goals42%fair 2.40
Over 4.5 goals24%fair 4.24
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.25
Under 2.5 goals37%2.63
Under 3.5 goals58%fair 1.72
BTTS
Both teams to score63%1.51
Not both teams to score37%2.60
Halves
First-half goal77%fair 1.30
Over 1.5 first-half goals44%fair 2.29
Second-half goal84%fair 1.20
Team goals
Santos Laguna to score87%fair 1.15
Necaxa to score72%fair 1.39
Santos Laguna clean sheet28%fair 3.60
Necaxa clean sheet13%fair 7.46
Santos Laguna to win to nil26%fair 3.91
Necaxa to win to nil12%fair 8.13
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-19.6%
1-19.6%
2-07.5%
1-07.5%
3-16.5%
2-26.2%
Half-time / full-time
Santos Laguna / Santos Laguna34.6%
Draw / Santos Laguna16.3%
Necaxa / Necaxa13.8%
Draw / Draw11.5%
Draw / Necaxa8.4%
Questions about Santos Laguna vs Necaxa
Who is favourite in Santos Laguna vs Necaxa?
The model gives Santos Laguna the best chance at 54%, with the draw at 23%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Santos Laguna vs Necaxa?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 64% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Santos Laguna vs Necaxa?
The BTTS yes line is rated 63%. Santos Laguna find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Necaxa in 72%.
When do Santos Laguna play Necaxa?
Kick-off is 23:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.