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Live 29 UTC
Liga MX Apertura - 14 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
NecaxaHomeDLLDL
1:1Half-time 1:0
FC JuarezAwayDLLDW
562321
Necaxa winDrawFC Juarez win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
2.94
1.88 : 1.06
Favourite
56%
Necaxa
Over 2.5 goals
56%
model chance
Both teams to score
56%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Necaxa vs FC Juarez

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.713.784.341.712.051.672.08Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Necaxa to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Necaxa vs FC Juarez prediction: Necaxa 1.71 (1xBet), draw 3.78 (1xBet), FC Juarez 4.34 (1xBet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.71 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.05 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.67 (1xBet) and no 2.08 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

56%

Our prediction

Necaxa to win
StrongExpected goals 1.88 : 1.06-3.7% against the best price
Double chanceNecaxa or draw
80% chance1.18
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
56% chance1.71
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.67
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
79% chance1.26fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.52fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Necaxa, full-time Necaxa
36% chance2.79fair

Necaxa vs FC Juarez prediction

Necaxa vs FC Juarez prediction, who wins and at what price

The Necaxa vs FC Juarez prediction leans to Necaxa: 56% against 21% for FC Juarez, with 23% left for the draw, in the Liga MX on Saturday, 24 October 2026.

The goal expectancy is 2.94 in total, split 1.88 to Necaxa and 1.06 to FC Juarez. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 56% and both teams to score 56%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is necaxa to win at 56%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.71. That price implies 58%, 2 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Necaxa vs FC Juarez.

For a safer line, necaxa or draw covers 80% of outcomes at 1.18.

Necaxa average 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, FC Juarez 1.0 and 1.8 across 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Necaxa vs FC Juarez

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 79%, over 2.5 at 56%, over 3.5 at 34%; under 2.5 is 44% and under 3.5 is 66%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.71 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 56%. Necaxa score in 85% of simulations against a 15% clean sheet for FC Juarez; FC Juarez score in 65% while Necaxa shut them out 35% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.5%, followed by 1-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.9%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Necaxa, full-time Necaxa is the top combination at 36%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 73%.

Every market for Necaxa vs FC Juarez

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 56% / 23% / 21% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Necaxa to win56%1.71
Draw23%3.78
FC Juarez to win21%4.34
Necaxa, draw no bet73%fair 1.37
FC Juarez, draw no bet27%fair 3.73

Double chance

Necaxa or draw80%1.18
FC Juarez or draw44%2.02
Necaxa or FC Juarez (no draw)77%1.23

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals79%fair 1.26
Over 2.5 goals56%1.71
Over 3.5 goals34%fair 2.95
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.71
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.81
Under 2.5 goals44%2.05
Under 3.5 goals66%fair 1.51

BTTS

Both teams to score56%1.67
Not both teams to score44%2.08

Halves

First-half goal73%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.62
Second-half goal80%fair 1.25

Team goals

Necaxa to score85%fair 1.18
FC Juarez to score65%fair 1.53
Necaxa clean sheet35%fair 2.89
FC Juarez clean sheet15%fair 6.54
Necaxa to win to nil32%fair 3.13
FC Juarez to win to nil14%fair 7.14

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.5%
1-09.9%
2-19.9%
2-09.3%
3-16.2%
3-05.9%

Half-time / full-time

Necaxa / Necaxa35.8%
Draw / Necaxa17.7%
Draw / Draw13%
FC Juarez / FC Juarez11.8%
Draw / FC Juarez7.9%

Questions about Necaxa vs FC Juarez

Who is favourite in Necaxa vs FC Juarez?

The model gives Necaxa the best chance at 56%, with the draw at 23%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

Necaxa vs FC Juarez correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 56% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Necaxa vs FC Juarez?

The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Necaxa find the net in 85% of simulated matches and FC Juarez in 65%.

What time does Necaxa vs FC Juarez kick off?

Kick-off is 01:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Necaxa v FC JuarezNecaxa to win, 56%
1.71Bet