Liga MX
Cruz AzulHomeDDWWW
2:1Half-time 0:0
LeonAwayWDLWD542422
Cruz Azul winDrawLeon win
Cruz AzulHomeDDWWWLeonAwayWDLWD- Kick-off Mon 2 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.03 1.88 : 1.15
- Favourite
- 54% Cruz Azul
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 59% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Cruz Azul vs Leon odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.72 | 3.90 | 4.14 | 1.55 | 2.17 | 1.57 | 2.26 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.69 | 3.94 | 4.80 | 1.72 | 2.10 | 1.63 | 2.25 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.70 | 1.67 | 2.10 | 1.67 | 2.08 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.66 | 3.94 | 5.05 | 1.64 | 2.23 | 1.63 | 2.25 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.66 | 3.94 | 5.05 | 1.64 | 2.23 | 1.63 | 2.25 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.66 | 4.00 | 4.80 | 1.61 | 2.23 | 1.65 | 2.12 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Cruz Azul to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Cruz Azul vs Leon are 1.72 for Cruz Azul at 1xBet, 4.00 for the draw at Stake and 5.05 for Leon at Melbet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 97.1%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.72 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.23 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.67 (BC.Game) and no 2.26 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
54%
Our prediction
Cruz Azul to win
Double chanceCruz Azul or draw
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
BTTSBoth teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.24fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.62fairWon
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Cruz Azul, full-time Cruz Azul
34% chance2.92fairLost
Cruz Azul vs Leon odds movement
Cruz Azul win1.72-0.08
Draw4.00-0.03
Leon win5.05+0.35
Over 2.5 goals1.72+0.03
Under 2.5 goals2.23-0.07
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Cruz Azul vs Leon prediction
Cruz Azul vs Leon prediction and best bet
Cruz Azul are a narrow favourite in the Cruz Azul vs Leon prediction, rated 54% to win this Liga MX match on Monday, 2 November 2026. Leon sit at 22% and the draw at 24%.
Cruz Azul are expected to score 1.88 and Leon 1.15, so the total line is 3.03 goals; over 2.5 lands at 58% and BTTS at 59%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Cruz Azul to win is the main selection, rated 54%. The best price in our comparison is 1.72 at 1xBet, which implies 58%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
For a safer line, cruz Azul or draw covers 78% of outcomes at 1.19.
Form check: Cruz Azul have won 3 of their last 5 with 16 scored and 8 conceded, Leon 2 of 5 scoring 9 and conceding 8.
How many goals in Cruz Azul vs Leon? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 81%, over 2.5 at 58%, over 3.5 at 36%; under 2.5 is 42% and under 3.5 is 64%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 58%, best priced 1.72 at 22Bet.
Both teams to score is 59%: Cruz Azul find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Leon in 68%. Cruz Azul keep a clean sheet 32% of the time and Leon 15%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.4%, followed by 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.1%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Cruz Azul, full-time Cruz Azul leads at 34%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Cruz Azul vs Leon
The grid built from 1.88 and 1.15 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Cruz Azul to win54%1.72
Draw24%4.00
Leon to win22%5.05
Cruz Azul, draw no bet71%fair 1.41
Leon, draw no bet29%fair 3.44
Double chance
Cruz Azul or draw78%1.19
Leon or draw46%2.21
Cruz Azul or Leon (no draw)76%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.72
Over 3.5 goals36%fair 2.79
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.26
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.13
Under 2.5 goals42%2.23
Under 3.5 goals64%fair 1.56
BTTS
Both teams to score59%1.67
Not both teams to score41%2.26
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.34
Over 1.5 first-half goals40%fair 2.53
Second-half goal81%fair 1.23
Team goals
Cruz Azul to score85%fair 1.18
Leon to score68%fair 1.46
Cruz Azul clean sheet32%fair 3.15
Leon clean sheet15%fair 6.54
Cruz Azul to win to nil29%fair 3.44
Leon to win to nil14%fair 7.14
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.4%
2-19.8%
1-09.1%
2-08.5%
3-16.2%
1-26%
Half-time / full-time
Cruz Azul / Cruz Azul34.3%
Draw / Cruz Azul16.9%
Leon / Leon13%
Draw / Draw12.7%
Draw / Leon8.4%
Questions about Cruz Azul vs Leon
Who is favourite in Cruz Azul vs Leon?
The model gives Cruz Azul the best chance at 54%, with the draw at 24%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Cruz Azul vs Leon?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 58%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Cruz Azul vs Leon?
The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Cruz Azul find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Leon in 68%.
When do Cruz Azul play Leon?
Kick-off is 01:10 UTC on Monday, 2 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.