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Live 26 UTC
Liga MX Apertura - 15 Sunday, 1 November 2026 FT
Guadalajara ChivasHomeDDWWW
4:2Half-time 2:0
Atlante FCAwayLLWLL
662014
Guadalajara Chivas winDrawAtlante FC win
Kick-off
Sun 1 Nov
Expected goals
3.06
2.15 : 0.91
Favourite
66%
Guadalajara Chivas
Over 2.5 goals
59%
model chance
Both teams to score
53%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Best odds for Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FC

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.434.556.221.542.361.692.05Bet
22Bet1.415.007.001.572.381.772.03Bet
BC.Game1.404.807.201.532.361.731.98Bet
Betwinner1.415.007.001.572.381.772.03Bet
Melbet1.415.007.001.572.381.772.03Bet
Stake1.385.007.201.522.431.761.95Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Guadalajara Chivas to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Guadalajara Chivas price at 1.43, Melbet lead the draw at 5.00 and Stake have Atlante FC longest at 7.20.

The best-price payout across the three results is 96.3%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.57 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.43 (Stake); both teams to score yes pays 1.77 (Melbet) and no 2.05 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

66%

Our prediction

Guadalajara Chivas to win
BankerExpected goals 2.15 : 0.91-6.3% against the best price
Double chanceGuadalajara Chivas or draw
85% chance1.10
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
59% chance1.57
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.77
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.23fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
11% chance9.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Guadalajara Chivas, full-time Guadalajara Chivas
43% chance2.31fair

Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FC odds movement

Guadalajara Chivas win1.43-0.07
Draw5.00unchanged
Atlante FC win7.20unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.57-0.03
Under 2.5 goals2.43-0.02

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FC prediction

Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FC prediction, who wins and at what price

Guadalajara Chivas host Atlante FC on Sunday, 1 November 2026 in the Liga MX, and the model has Guadalajara Chivas at 66%, the draw at 20% and Atlante FC at 15%: that is the Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FC prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 3.06 in total, split 2.15 to Guadalajara Chivas and 0.91 to Atlante FC. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 59% and both teams to score 53%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FC is guadalajara Chivas to win, a 66% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.43. That price implies 70%, 4 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, guadalajara Chivas or draw covers 85% of outcomes at 1.10.

With the draw down at 20%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Guadalajara Chivas average 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 5, Atlante FC 0.8 and 1.8 across 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FC

On the goal lines Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FC reads 81% for over 1.5, 59% for over 2.5 and 37% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 41%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 59%, best priced 1.57 at Melbet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 53%, built from Guadalajara Chivas scoring in 88% of runs and Atlante FC in 60%; clean sheets come at 40% for Guadalajara Chivas and 12% for Atlante FC.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FC: 2-0 (10.8%), 1-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.9%).

With the top scoreline at 10.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FC; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Guadalajara Chivas, full-time Guadalajara Chivas is the top combination at 43%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 75%.

All markets, Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FC

The grid built from 2.15 and 0.91 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Guadalajara Chivas to win66%1.43
Draw20%5.00
Atlante FC to win15%7.20
Guadalajara Chivas, draw no bet82%fair 1.22
Atlante FC, draw no bet18%fair 5.49

Double chance

Guadalajara Chivas or draw85%1.10
Atlante FC or draw35%2.95
Guadalajara Chivas or Atlante FC (no draw)80%1.17

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.57
Over 3.5 goals37%fair 2.73
Over 4.5 goals20%fair 5.13
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.26
Under 2.5 goals41%2.43
Under 3.5 goals63%fair 1.58

BTTS

Both teams to score53%1.77
Not both teams to score47%2.05

Halves

First-half goal75%fair 1.34
Over 1.5 first-half goals40%fair 2.50
Second-half goal81%fair 1.23

Team goals

Guadalajara Chivas to score88%fair 1.13
Atlante FC to score60%fair 1.68
Guadalajara Chivas clean sheet40%fair 2.48
Atlante FC clean sheet12%fair 8.62
Guadalajara Chivas to win to nil37%fair 2.70
Atlante FC to win to nil11%fair 9.35

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-010.8%
1-010.1%
2-19.9%
1-19.2%
3-07.8%
3-17.1%

Half-time / full-time

Guadalajara Chivas / Guadalajara Chivas43.3%
Draw / Guadalajara Chivas19.2%
Draw / Draw11.4%
Atlante FC / Atlante FC8%
Draw / Atlante FC5.7%

Questions about Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FC

Who is favourite in Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FC?

The model gives Guadalajara Chivas the best chance at 66%, with the draw at 20%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FC?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 10.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 59%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FC?

The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Guadalajara Chivas find the net in 88% of simulated matches and Atlante FC in 60%.

When do Guadalajara Chivas play Atlante FC?

Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FC starts at 01:07 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Guadalajara Chivas v Atlante FCGuadalajara Chivas to win, 66%
1.43Bet