Liga MX
Santos LagunaHomeWWWLW
2:0Half-time 1:0
U.N.A.M. - PumasAwayDWLDW432631
Santos Laguna winDrawU.N.A.M. - Pumas win
Santos LagunaHomeWWWLWU.N.A.M. - PumasAwayDWLDW- Kick-off Thu 22 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.12 1.70 : 1.42
- Favourite
- 43% Santos Laguna
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 64% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.24 | 3.45 | 2.91 | 1.59 | 2.25 | 1.48 | 2.47 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Santos Laguna to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas are 2.24 for Santos Laguna at 1xBet, 3.45 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.91 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas at 1xBet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 92.6%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.59 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.25 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.48 (1xBet) and no 2.47 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
74%
Our prediction
Santos Laguna or U.N.A.M. - Pumas (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.59
BTTSBoth teams to score
64% chance1.48
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.35fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Santos Laguna, full-time Santos Laguna
27% chance3.69fair
First halfFirst-half goal
75% chance1.33fair
Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas prediction
Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas prediction, who wins and at what price
Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas prediction for the Liga MX on Thursday, 22 October 2026: the model makes Santos Laguna marginally ahead at 43%, with the draw at 26% and U.N.A.M. - Pumas at 31%.
Santos Laguna are expected to score 1.70 and U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1.42, so the total line is 3.12 goals; over 2.5 lands at 60% and BTTS at 64%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas is santos Laguna or U.N.A.M. - Pumas (no draw), a 74% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.27 at 1xBet, which implies 79%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
Form check: Santos Laguna have won 4 of their last 5 with 11 scored and 5 conceded, U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 8.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
On the goal lines Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas reads 82% for over 1.5, 60% for over 2.5 and 38% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 40%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 60%; 1xBet pay 1.59.
BTTS yes stands at 64%. Santos Laguna score in 82% of simulations against a 18% clean sheet for U.N.A.M. - Pumas; U.N.A.M. - Pumas score in 76% while Santos Laguna shut them out 24% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas: 1-1 (10.7%), 2-1 (9.1%) and 1-2 (7.6%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Santos Laguna, full-time Santos Laguna leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 75%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Santos Laguna to win43%2.24
Draw26%3.45
U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win31%2.91
Santos Laguna, draw no bet58%fair 1.71
U.N.A.M. - Pumas, draw no bet42%fair 2.40
Double chance
Santos Laguna or draw69%1.36
U.N.A.M. - Pumas or draw57%1.58
Santos Laguna or U.N.A.M. - Pumas (no draw)74%1.27
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.59
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.63
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.88
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.49
Under 2.5 goals40%2.25
Under 3.5 goals62%fair 1.61
BTTS
Both teams to score64%1.48
Not both teams to score36%2.47
Halves
First-half goal75%fair 1.33
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.44
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22
Team goals
Santos Laguna to score82%fair 1.22
U.N.A.M. - Pumas to score76%fair 1.32
Santos Laguna clean sheet24%fair 4.13
U.N.A.M. - Pumas clean sheet18%fair 5.46
Santos Laguna to win to nil22%fair 4.50
U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win to nil17%fair 5.95
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.7%
2-19.1%
1-27.6%
1-07.5%
2-26.4%
2-06.4%
Half-time / full-time
Santos Laguna / Santos Laguna27.1%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas / U.N.A.M. - Pumas18.9%
Draw / Santos Laguna14.3%
Draw / Draw12.8%
Draw / U.N.A.M. - Pumas11%
Questions about Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Who is favourite in Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
The model gives Santos Laguna the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 60% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
The BTTS yes line is rated 64%. Santos Laguna find the net in 82% of simulated matches and U.N.A.M. - Pumas in 76%.
What time does Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas kick off?
Kick-off is 03:10 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.