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Liga MX Apertura - 15 Saturday, 31 October 2026 FT
Atletico San LuisHomeLDWWL
0:1Half-time 0:0
AtlasAwayDWLWW
372637
Atletico San Luis winDrawAtlas win
Kick-off
Sat 31 Oct
Expected goals
3.10
1.54 : 1.56
Favourite
38%
Atlas
Over 2.5 goals
60%
model chance
Both teams to score
62%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Best odds for Atletico San Luis vs Atlas

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.543.552.431.632.171.522.37Bet
22Bet2.263.722.921.662.201.612.30Bet
BC.Game2.243.602.941.652.141.542.32Bet
Betwinner2.263.722.921.662.201.612.30Bet
Melbet2.263.722.921.662.201.612.30Bet
Stake2.263.652.901.632.201.552.30Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Atlas to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Atletico San Luis price at 2.54, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.72 and BC.Game have Atlas longest at 2.94.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 99.7%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.66 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.20 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.61 (Melbet) and no 2.37 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

74%

Our prediction

Atletico San Luis or Atlas (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.54 : 1.56-4.9% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.66
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.61
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.23fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Atlas, full-time Atlas
23% chance4.33fair
First halfFirst-half goal
75% chance1.33fair

Atletico San Luis vs Atlas prediction

Atletico San Luis vs Atlas prediction and best bet

Nothing separates the sides in the Atletico San Luis vs Atlas prediction for Saturday, 31 October 2026: 37% home, 26% draw and 38% away in the Liga MX. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

Atletico San Luis are expected to score 1.54 and Atlas 1.56, so the total line is 3.10 goals; over 2.5 lands at 60% and BTTS at 62%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Atletico San Luis vs Atlas is atletico San Luis or Atlas (no draw), a 74% chance. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.28. That price implies 78%, 4 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Over the last 5 matches Atletico San Luis stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Atlas show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

Atletico San Luis vs Atlas goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

On the goal lines Atletico San Luis vs Atlas reads 82% for over 1.5, 60% for over 2.5 and 38% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 40%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.66 at Melbet.

Both teams to score is 62%: Atletico San Luis find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Atlas in 79%. Atletico San Luis keep a clean sheet 21% of the time and Atlas 21%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.8%, followed by 1-2 (8.4%) and 2-1 (8.3%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Atlas, full-time Atlas is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 75%.

Every market rated for Atletico San Luis vs Atlas

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 37% / 26% / 38% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Atletico San Luis to win37%2.54
Draw26%3.72
Atlas to win38%2.94
Atletico San Luis, draw no bet49%fair 2.03
Atlas, draw no bet51%fair 1.97

Double chance

Atletico San Luis or draw62%1.48
Atlas or draw63%1.64
Atletico San Luis or Atlas (no draw)74%1.28

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.23
Over 2.5 goals60%1.66
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.67
Over 4.5 goals20%fair 4.95
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.41
Under 2.5 goals40%2.20
Under 3.5 goals63%fair 1.60

BTTS

Both teams to score62%1.61
Not both teams to score38%2.37

Halves

First-half goal75%fair 1.33
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.46
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22

Team goals

Atletico San Luis to score79%fair 1.27
Atlas to score79%fair 1.27
Atletico San Luis clean sheet21%fair 4.76
Atlas clean sheet21%fair 4.67
Atletico San Luis to win to nil19%fair 5.18
Atlas to win to nil20%fair 5.08

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.8%
1-28.4%
2-18.3%
0-17%
1-06.9%
2-26.5%

Half-time / full-time

Atlas / Atlas23.1%
Atletico San Luis / Atletico San Luis22.5%
Draw / Draw13%
Draw / Atlas12.8%
Draw / Atletico San Luis12.6%

Questions about Atletico San Luis vs Atlas

Atletico San Luis or Atlas: which side does the model back?

The model gives Atlas the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for Atletico San Luis vs Atlas?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 60%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Atletico San Luis vs Atlas both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Atletico San Luis find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Atlas in 79%.

What time does Atletico San Luis vs Atlas kick off?

Atletico San Luis vs Atlas starts at 01:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Atletico San Luis v AtlasAtletico San Luis or Atlas (no draw), 74%
1.28Bet