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Live 27 UTC
Malta Premier League Round 11 Saturday, 31 October 2026 FT
Zabbar St. PatrickHomeLWLWW
5:0Half-time 1:0
MostaAwayDDLDL
392734
Zabbar St. Patrick winDrawMosta win
Kick-off
Sat 31 Oct
Expected goals
2.82
1.47 : 1.35
Favourite
39%
Zabbar St. Patrick
Over 2.5 goals
53%
model chance
Both teams to score
58%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Best odds for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.233.322.791.751.931.602.15Bet
22Bet2.683.612.321.831.911.732.00Bet
BC.Game2.563.502.441.771.961.622.10Bet
Betwinner2.683.612.321.831.911.732.00Bet
Melbet2.683.612.321.831.911.732.00Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Zabbar St. Patrick to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta prediction: Zabbar St. Patrick 2.68 (22Bet), draw 3.61 (22Bet), Mosta 2.79 (1xBet).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 99.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.83 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.96 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.73 (22Bet) and no 2.15 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

73%

Our prediction

Zabbar St. Patrick or Mosta (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.47 : 1.35-9% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.83
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.73
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.47fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Zabbar St. Patrick, full-time Zabbar St. Patrick
24% chance4.18fair
First halfFirst-half goal
72% chance1.39fair

Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta prediction

Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta prediction and best bet

Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta prediction for the Malta Premier League on Saturday, 31 October 2026: the model calls it close, Zabbar St. Patrick 39%, draw 27%, Mosta 34%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.

Expected goals are 1.47 for Zabbar St. Patrick and 1.35 for Mosta, a total of 2.82, which puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 58%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is zabbar St. Patrick or Mosta (no draw) at 73%. BC.Game offer the top price at 1.25. That price implies 80%, 7 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Form check: Zabbar St. Patrick have won 3 of their last 5 with 12 scored and 7 conceded, Mosta 0 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 13.

Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

On the goal lines Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta reads 77% for over 1.5, 53% for over 2.5 and 31% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 47%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 53%, best priced 1.83 at 22Bet.

Both teams to score is 58%: Zabbar St. Patrick find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Mosta in 74%. Zabbar St. Patrick keep a clean sheet 26% of the time and Mosta 23%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.8%, then 1-0 at 8.8% and 2-1 at 8.7%.

With the top scoreline at 11.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Zabbar St. Patrick, full-time Zabbar St. Patrick leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta

The grid built from 1.47 and 1.35 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Zabbar St. Patrick to win39%2.68
Draw27%3.61
Mosta to win34%2.79
Zabbar St. Patrick, draw no bet54%fair 1.86
Mosta, draw no bet46%fair 2.16

Double chance

Zabbar St. Patrick or draw66%1.54
Mosta or draw61%1.52
Zabbar St. Patrick or Mosta (no draw)73%1.25

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Over 2.5 goals53%1.83
Over 3.5 goals31%fair 3.19
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.45
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.39
Under 2.5 goals47%1.96
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.46

BTTS

Both teams to score58%1.73
Not both teams to score42%2.15

Halves

First-half goal72%fair 1.39
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.76
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27

Team goals

Zabbar St. Patrick to score77%fair 1.30
Mosta to score74%fair 1.35
Zabbar St. Patrick clean sheet26%fair 3.86
Mosta clean sheet23%fair 4.35
Zabbar St. Patrick to win to nil24%fair 4.18
Mosta to win to nil21%fair 4.72

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.8%
1-08.8%
2-18.7%
0-18%
1-28%
2-06.4%

Half-time / full-time

Zabbar St. Patrick / Zabbar St. Patrick23.9%
Mosta / Mosta20.3%
Draw / Draw14.6%
Draw / Zabbar St. Patrick13.8%
Draw / Mosta12.2%

Questions about Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta

Who is favourite in Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta?

The model gives Zabbar St. Patrick the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 53%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta?

The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Zabbar St. Patrick find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Mosta in 74%.

When is Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 15:30 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Zabbar St. Patrick v MostaZabbar St. Patrick or Mosta (no draw), 73%
1.25Bet