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Malta Premier League Round 10 Monday, 26 October 2026 FT
MostaHomeDDLDL
2:2Half-time 1:0
HiberniansAwayDWWDW
312742
Mosta winDrawHibernians win
Kick-off
Mon 26 Oct
Expected goals
2.76
1.26 : 1.50
Favourite
42%
Hibernians
Over 2.5 goals
52%
model chance
Both teams to score
56%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Mosta vs Hibernians betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.083.342.061.771.901.632.10Bet
22Bet2.993.512.171.831.911.732.00Bet
BC.Game3.103.452.121.791.931.642.08Bet
Betwinner2.993.512.171.831.911.732.00Bet
Melbet2.993.512.171.831.911.732.00Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Hibernians to win partner prices

BC.Game pay the best Mosta price at 3.10, Betwinner lead the draw at 3.51 and Betwinner have Hibernians longest at 2.17.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.83 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.93 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.73 (Betwinner) and no 2.10 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

73%

Our prediction

Mosta or Hibernians (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.26 : 1.50-7.5% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
52% chance1.83
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.73
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.31fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.33fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Hibernians, full-time Hibernians
26% chance3.89fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.41fair

Mosta vs Hibernians prediction

Mosta vs Hibernians prediction, who wins and at what price

Mosta vs Hibernians prediction for the Malta Premier League on Monday, 26 October 2026: the model makes Hibernians marginally ahead at 42%, with the draw at 27% and Mosta at 31%.

The goal expectancy is 2.76 in total, split 1.26 to Mosta and 1.50 to Hibernians. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 52% and both teams to score 56%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Mosta vs Hibernians is mosta or Hibernians (no draw), a 73% chance. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.26. That price implies 79%, 6 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Mosta vs Hibernians.

Over the last 5 matches Mosta stand at 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Hibernians show 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in 5.

Mosta vs Hibernians goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

On the goal lines Mosta vs Hibernians reads 76% for over 1.5, 52% for over 2.5 and 30% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 48%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 1.83 at 22Bet.

Both teams to score is 56%: Mosta find the net in 72% of simulated matches and Hibernians in 78%. Mosta keep a clean sheet 22% of the time and Hibernians 28%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12%, then 0-1 at 9.5% and 1-2 at 9%.

With the top scoreline at 12%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Mosta vs Hibernians; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Hibernians, full-time Hibernians is the top combination at 26%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.

All markets, Mosta vs Hibernians

The grid built from 1.26 and 1.50 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Mosta to win31%3.10
Draw27%3.51
Hibernians to win42%2.17
Mosta, draw no bet42%fair 2.36
Hibernians, draw no bet58%fair 1.74

Double chance

Mosta or draw58%1.63
Hibernians or draw69%1.34
Mosta or Hibernians (no draw)73%1.26

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.31
Over 2.5 goals52%1.83
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.34
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.85
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.20
Under 2.5 goals48%1.93
Under 3.5 goals70%fair 1.43

BTTS

Both teams to score56%1.73
Not both teams to score44%2.10

Halves

First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.84
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28

Team goals

Mosta to score72%fair 1.40
Hibernians to score78%fair 1.29
Mosta clean sheet22%fair 4.48
Hibernians clean sheet28%fair 3.52
Mosta to win to nil21%fair 4.88
Hibernians to win to nil26%fair 3.83

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112%
0-19.5%
1-29%
1-08%
2-17.5%
0-27.1%

Half-time / full-time

Hibernians / Hibernians25.7%
Mosta / Mosta18.4%
Draw / Draw14.9%
Draw / Hibernians14.6%
Draw / Mosta11.5%

Questions about Mosta vs Hibernians

Who is favourite in Mosta vs Hibernians?

The model gives Hibernians the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What scoreline is most likely in Mosta vs Hibernians?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 52% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Mosta vs Hibernians?

The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Mosta find the net in 72% of simulated matches and Hibernians in 78%.

What time does Mosta vs Hibernians kick off?

Kick-off is 19:30 UTC on Monday, 26 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Mosta v HiberniansMosta or Hibernians (no draw), 73%
1.26Bet