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Malta Premier League Round 11 Sunday, 1 November 2026 FT
FlorianaHomeDDDLL
0:1Half-time 0:0
Valletta FCAwayWWWLW
282844
Floriana winDrawValletta FC win
Kick-off
Sun 1 Nov
Expected goals
2.59
1.13 : 1.46
Favourite
44%
Valletta FC
Over 2.5 goals
47%
model chance
Both teams to score
53%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Floriana vs Valletta FC betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.163.142.112.051.661.811.86Bet
22Bet2.873.592.211.941.801.851.85Bet
BC.Game3.003.402.181.911.811.721.96Bet
Betwinner2.873.592.211.941.801.851.85Bet
Melbet2.873.592.211.941.801.851.85Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Valletta FC to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Floriana price at 3.16, Melbet lead the draw at 3.59 and Melbet have Valletta FC longest at 2.21.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.05 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.81 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.85 (Melbet) and no 1.96 (BC.Game).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

72%

Our prediction

Valletta FC or draw
LeanWonExpected goals 1.13 : 1.46-1.2% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.81
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.85Lost
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.37fairLost
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.06fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Valletta FC, full-time Valletta FC
27% chance3.73fairLost
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.45fairLost

Floriana vs Valletta FC odds movement

Floriana win3.16-0.06
Draw3.59unchanged
Valletta FC win2.21unchanged
Over 2.5 goals2.05-0.05
Under 2.5 goals1.81unchanged

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:59 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Floriana vs Valletta FC prediction

Floriana vs Valletta FC prediction and best bet

Floriana vs Valletta FC prediction for the Malta Premier League on Sunday, 1 November 2026: the model makes Valletta FC marginally ahead at 44%, with the draw at 28% and Floriana at 28%.

Floriana are expected to score 1.13 and Valletta FC 1.46, so the total line is 2.59 goals; over 2.5 lands at 47% and BTTS at 53%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Floriana vs Valletta FC is valletta FC or draw, a 72% chance. At 1.37 with Melbet the market prices it at 73%, against 72% from the model.

Over the last 5 matches Floriana stand at 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Valletta FC show 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Floriana vs Valletta FC

Under 2.5 goals is rated 53% and under 3.5 74%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 73% and over 2.5 at 47%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; BC.Game pay 1.81.

Both teams to score is 53%: Floriana find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Valletta FC in 77%. Floriana keep a clean sheet 23% of the time and Valletta FC 32%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.4%, followed by 0-1 (11%) and 1-2 (9%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Valletta FC, full-time Valletta FC leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Floriana vs Valletta FC

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 28% / 28% / 44% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Floriana to win28%3.16
Draw28%3.59
Valletta FC to win44%2.21
Floriana, draw no bet39%fair 2.58
Valletta FC, draw no bet61%fair 1.63

Double chance

Floriana or draw56%1.59
Valletta FC or draw72%1.37
Floriana or Valletta FC (no draw)72%1.27

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.37
Over 2.5 goals47%2.05
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.82
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.26
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.72
Under 2.5 goals53%1.81
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.36

BTTS

Both teams to score53%1.85
Not both teams to score47%1.96

Halves

First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.08
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32

Team goals

Floriana to score68%fair 1.48
Valletta FC to score77%fair 1.30
Floriana clean sheet23%fair 4.31
Valletta FC clean sheet32%fair 3.10
Floriana to win to nil21%fair 4.67
Valletta FC to win to nil30%fair 3.37

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.4%
0-111%
1-29%
1-08.5%
0-28%
0-07.5%

Half-time / full-time

Valletta FC / Valletta FC26.8%
Floriana / Floriana16.6%
Draw / Draw16%
Draw / Valletta FC15.5%
Draw / Floriana10.9%

Questions about Floriana vs Valletta FC

Who is favourite in Floriana vs Valletta FC?

The model gives Valletta FC the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What scoreline is most likely in Floriana vs Valletta FC?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 47% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Floriana vs Valletta FC?

The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Floriana find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Valletta FC in 77%.

When do Floriana play Valletta FC?

Kick-off is 14:30 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Floriana v Valletta FCValletta FC or draw, 72%
1.37Bet