Floriana vs Zabbar St. Patrick prediction

Floriana vs Zabbar St. Patrick prediction and best bet

Floriana host Zabbar St. Patrick on Monday, 26 October 2026 in the Malta Premier League, and the model has Floriana at 66%, the draw at 21% and Zabbar St. Patrick at 14%: that is the Floriana vs Zabbar St. Patrick prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 3.03 in total, split 2.14 to Floriana and 0.89 to Zabbar St. Patrick. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 58% and both teams to score 53%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is floriana to win at 66%. At 1.39 with 1xBet the market prices it at 72%, against 66% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, floriana or draw covers 86% of outcomes at 1.03.

With the draw down at 21%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Floriana average 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Zabbar St. Patrick 2.4 and 1.4 across 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Floriana vs Zabbar St. Patrick

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 81%, over 2.5 at 58%, over 3.5 at 36%; under 2.5 is 42% and under 3.5 is 64%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 58%, best priced 1.63 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 53%, built from Floriana scoring in 88% of runs and Zabbar St. Patrick in 59%; clean sheets come at 41% for Floriana and 12% for Zabbar St. Patrick.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Floriana vs Zabbar St. Patrick: 2-0 (11.1%), 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.8%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Floriana, full-time Floriana leads at 44%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.