Malta Premier League
Valletta FCHomeWWWLW
1:2Half-time 0:2
Hamrun SpartansAwayDDDWD392932
Valletta FC winDrawHamrun Spartans win
Valletta FCHomeWWWLWHamrun SpartansAwayDDDWD- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.50 1.33 : 1.17
- Favourite
- 39% Valletta FC
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.40 | 2.98 | 2.70 | 2.05 | 1.66 | 1.79 | 1.88 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.54 | 3.25 | 2.64 | 1.94 | 1.80 | 1.85 | 1.85 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.62 | 3.15 | 2.60 | 2.02 | 1.72 | 1.77 | 1.89 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.56 | 2.99 | 2.52 | 2.04 | 1.67 | 1.78 | 1.89 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.56 | 3.27 | 2.61 | 1.94 | 1.80 | 1.85 | 1.85 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Valletta FC to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans are 2.62 for Valletta FC at BC.Game, 3.27 for the draw at Melbet and 2.70 for Hamrun Spartans at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.05 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.80 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.85 (Melbet) and no 1.89 (Betwinner).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
71%
Our prediction
Valletta FC or Hamrun Spartans (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.80
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.85
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.40fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.81fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Valletta FC, full-time Valletta FC
24% chance4.22fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.48fair
Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans prediction
Our Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans prediction and pick
Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans prediction for the Malta Premier League on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model calls it close, Valletta FC 39%, draw 29%, Hamrun Spartans 32%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Expected goals are 1.33 for Valletta FC and 1.17 for Hamrun Spartans, a total of 2.50, which puts over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 52%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is valletta FC or Hamrun Spartans (no draw) at 71%. At 1.30 with BC.Game the market prices it at 77%, against 71% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans.
Over the last 5 matches Valletta FC stand at 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Hamrun Spartans show 1 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats in 5.
Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
On the goal lines Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans reads 71% for over 1.5, 45% for over 2.5 and 24% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 55%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; Melbet pay 1.80.
Both teams to score is 52%: Valletta FC find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Hamrun Spartans in 69%. Valletta FC keep a clean sheet 31% of the time and Hamrun Spartans 26%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans: 1-1 (12.8%), 1-0 (10.9%) and 0-1 (9.6%).
With the top scoreline at 12.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Valletta FC, full-time Valletta FC leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans
The grid built from 1.33 and 1.17 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Valletta FC to win39%2.62
Draw29%3.27
Hamrun Spartans to win32%2.70
Valletta FC, draw no bet55%fair 1.81
Hamrun Spartans, draw no bet45%fair 2.24
Double chance
Valletta FC or draw68%1.43
Hamrun Spartans or draw61%1.46
Valletta FC or Hamrun Spartans (no draw)71%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.40
Over 2.5 goals45%2.05
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.13
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.17
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.48
Under 2.5 goals55%1.80
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.32
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.85
Not both teams to score48%1.89
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.48
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.23
Second-half goal75%fair 1.34
Team goals
Valletta FC to score74%fair 1.36
Hamrun Spartans to score69%fair 1.45
Valletta FC clean sheet31%fair 3.23
Hamrun Spartans clean sheet26%fair 3.79
Valletta FC to win to nil29%fair 3.50
Hamrun Spartans to win to nil24%fair 4.12
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.8%
1-010.9%
0-19.6%
2-18.5%
0-08.2%
1-27.5%
Half-time / full-time
Valletta FC / Valletta FC23.7%
Hamrun Spartans / Hamrun Spartans18.7%
Draw / Draw16.8%
Draw / Valletta FC14.5%
Draw / Hamrun Spartans12.2%
Questions about Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans
Valletta FC or Hamrun Spartans: which side does the model back?
The model gives Valletta FC the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 45% backs the same picture with less variance.
Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Valletta FC find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Hamrun Spartans in 69%.
What time does Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans kick off?
Kick-off is 14:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.