J-League Cup
Sagan TosuHomeWLWLL
0:2Half-time 0:0
Kawasaki FrontaleAwayWWWWL192358
Sagan Tosu winDrawKawasaki Frontale win
Sagan TosuHomeWLWLLKawasaki FrontaleAwayWWWWL- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.87 0.98 : 1.89
- Favourite
- 59% Kawasaki Frontale
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 54% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 4.73 | 3.90 | 1.64 | 1.75 | 1.99 | 1.73 | 2.00 | Bet |
 BC.Game | - | - | - | 2.22 | 1.60 | 1.96 | 1.76 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Kawasaki Frontale to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale prediction: Sagan Tosu 4.73 (1xBet), draw 3.90 (1xBet), Kawasaki Frontale 1.64 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92.8%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.22 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 1.99 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.96 (BC.Game) and no 2.00 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
59%
Our prediction
Kawasaki Frontale to win
Double chanceKawasaki Frontale or draw
81% chance1.15
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
54% chance2.22
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.96
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
11% chance9.35fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Kawasaki Frontale, full-time Kawasaki Frontale
37% chance2.67fair
Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale prediction
Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale prediction and best bet
Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale prediction for the J-League Cup on Wednesday, 28 October 2026: the model makes Kawasaki Frontale a narrow favourite at 59%, with the draw at 23% and Sagan Tosu at 19%.
The goal expectancy is 2.87 in total, split 0.98 to Sagan Tosu and 1.89 to Kawasaki Frontale. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 54% and both teams to score 54%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Kawasaki Frontale to win is the main selection, rated 59%. At 1.64 with 1xBet the market prices it at 61%, against 59% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale.
Kawasaki Frontale or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 81% chance, priced 1.15.
Sagan Tosu average 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Kawasaki Frontale 2.4 and 1.6 across 5.
How many goals in Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
On the goal lines Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale reads 78% for over 1.5, 54% for over 2.5 and 32% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 46%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%; BC.Game pay 2.22.
The chance of both teams scoring is 54%, built from Sagan Tosu scoring in 63% of runs and Kawasaki Frontale in 85%; clean sheets come at 15% for Sagan Tosu and 38% for Kawasaki Frontale.
Correct score: 0-1 leads at 10.7%, then 1-1 at 10.5% and 0-2 at 10.1%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Kawasaki Frontale, full-time Kawasaki Frontale is the top combination at 37%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 73%.
All markets, Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 19% / 23% / 59% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Sagan Tosu to win19%4.73
Draw23%3.90
Kawasaki Frontale to win59%1.64
Sagan Tosu, draw no bet24%fair 4.15
Kawasaki Frontale, draw no bet76%fair 1.32
Double chance
Sagan Tosu or draw41%2.14
Kawasaki Frontale or draw81%1.15
Sagan Tosu or Kawasaki Frontale (no draw)77%1.22
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals54%2.22
Over 3.5 goals32%fair 3.09
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.13
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.57
Under 2.5 goals46%1.99
Under 3.5 goals68%fair 1.48
BTTS
Both teams to score54%1.96
Not both teams to score46%2.00
Halves
First-half goal73%fair 1.38
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.70
Second-half goal79%fair 1.26
Team goals
Sagan Tosu to score63%fair 1.60
Kawasaki Frontale to score85%fair 1.18
Sagan Tosu clean sheet15%fair 6.62
Kawasaki Frontale clean sheet38%fair 2.67
Sagan Tosu to win to nil14%fair 7.19
Kawasaki Frontale to win to nil35%fair 2.90
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
0-110.7%
1-110.5%
0-210.1%
1-29.9%
0-36.4%
1-36.3%
Half-time / full-time
Kawasaki Frontale / Kawasaki Frontale37.4%
Draw / Kawasaki Frontale18.3%
Draw / Draw13.2%
Sagan Tosu / Sagan Tosu10.6%
Draw / Sagan Tosu7.3%
Questions about Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale
Sagan Tosu or Kawasaki Frontale: which side does the model back?
The model gives Kawasaki Frontale the best chance at 59%, with the draw at 23%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 54% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale?
The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Sagan Tosu find the net in 63% of simulated matches and Kawasaki Frontale in 85%.
When is Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 10:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.