Serie C - Girone A
AlcioneHomeDDWLW
1:2Half-time 1:1
Athletic CarpiAwayLLWWL482626
Alcione winDrawAthletic Carpi win
AlcioneHomeDDWLWAthletic CarpiAwayLLWWL- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.83 1.66 : 1.17
- Favourite
- 48% Alcione
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 57% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Alcione vs Athletic Carpi betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.94 | 3.35 | 3.38 | 1.81 | 1.86 | 1.67 | 2.04 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Alcione to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Alcione price at 1.94, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.35 and 1xBet have Athletic Carpi longest at 3.38.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.81 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.86 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.67 (1xBet) and no 2.04 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
74%
Our prediction
Alcione or Athletic Carpi (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.81
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.67
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.29fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.70fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Alcione, full-time Alcione
30% chance3.33fair
First halfFirst-half goal
72% chance1.39fair
Alcione vs Athletic Carpi odds movement
Alcione win1.94-0.15
Draw3.35-0.08
Athletic Carpi win3.38-0.13
Over 2.5 goals1.81-0.05
Under 2.5 goals1.86-0.09
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Alcione vs Athletic Carpi prediction
Our Alcione vs Athletic Carpi prediction and pick
Alcione host Athletic Carpi on Saturday, 24 October 2026 in the Serie C - Girone A, and the model has Alcione at 48%, the draw at 26% and Athletic Carpi at 26%: that is the Alcione vs Athletic Carpi prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 1.66 for Alcione and 1.17 for Athletic Carpi, a total of 2.83, which puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 57%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is alcione or Athletic Carpi (no draw) at 74%. The best price in our comparison is 1.23 at 1xBet, which implies 81%, so the model sits 7 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Alcione have won 2 of their last 5 with 11 scored and 7 conceded, Athletic Carpi 2 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 11.
How many goals in Alcione vs Athletic Carpi? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 47% and under 3.5 69%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 77% and over 2.5 at 53%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 1xBet pay 1.81.
BTTS yes stands at 57%. Alcione score in 81% of simulations against a 19% clean sheet for Athletic Carpi; Athletic Carpi score in 69% while Alcione shut them out 31% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Alcione vs Athletic Carpi: 1-1 (11.5%), 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.5%).
With the top scoreline at 11.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Alcione vs Athletic Carpi; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Alcione, full-time Alcione is the top combination at 30%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.
Every market rated for Alcione vs Athletic Carpi
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Alcione vs Athletic Carpi, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Alcione to win48%1.94
Draw26%3.35
Athletic Carpi to win26%3.38
Alcione, draw no bet65%fair 1.55
Athletic Carpi, draw no bet35%fair 2.83
Double chance
Alcione or draw74%1.23
Athletic Carpi or draw52%1.68
Alcione or Athletic Carpi (no draw)74%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.29
Over 2.5 goals53%1.81
Over 3.5 goals32%fair 3.17
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.37
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.42
Under 2.5 goals47%1.86
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.46
BTTS
Both teams to score57%1.67
Not both teams to score43%2.04
Halves
First-half goal72%fair 1.39
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.75
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27
Team goals
Alcione to score81%fair 1.23
Athletic Carpi to score69%fair 1.45
Alcione clean sheet31%fair 3.23
Athletic Carpi clean sheet19%fair 5.26
Alcione to win to nil29%fair 3.50
Athletic Carpi to win to nil18%fair 5.71
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.5%
1-09.8%
2-19.5%
2-08.1%
0-16.9%
1-26.7%
Half-time / full-time
Alcione / Alcione30%
Draw / Alcione16.1%
Athletic Carpi / Athletic Carpi15.3%
Draw / Draw14.2%
Draw / Athletic Carpi9.8%
Questions about Alcione vs Athletic Carpi
Alcione or Athletic Carpi: which side does the model back?
The model gives Alcione the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Alcione vs Athletic Carpi?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 53%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Alcione vs Athletic Carpi both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Alcione find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Athletic Carpi in 69%.
When do Alcione play Athletic Carpi?
Kick-off is 15:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.