Giana ErminioHomeDDWWL
AlcioneAwayDDWLW
Giana ErminioHomeDDWWL
AlcioneAwayDDWLW| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.34 | 2.90 | 2.98 | 1.89 | 1.78 | 1.67 | 2.04 | Bet | |
| 2.26 | 3.36 | 3.05 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet | |
| 2.32 | 2.88 | 3.15 | 1.94 | 1.79 | 1.66 | 2.02 | Bet | |
| 2.26 | 3.36 | 3.05 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet | |
| 2.26 | 3.36 | 3.05 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
The top 1X2 prices for Giana Erminio vs Alcione are 2.34 for Giana Erminio at 1xBet, 3.36 for the draw at Betwinner and 3.15 for Alcione at BC.Game.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.9%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.97 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 1.83 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.74 (Betwinner) and no 2.04 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
Our prediction
Nothing separates the sides in the Giana Erminio vs Alcione prediction for Saturday, 31 October 2026: 38% home, 32% draw and 30% away in the Serie C - Girone A. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Expected goals are 1.40 for Giana Erminio and 1.24 for Alcione, a total of 2.64, which puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 56%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is giana Erminio or draw at 70%. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.35. That price implies 74%, 4 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
A 32% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Over the last 5 matches Giana Erminio stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Alcione show 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 74%, over 2.5 at 49%, over 3.5 at 27%; under 2.5 is 51% and under 3.5 is 73%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; Betwinner pay 1.83.
BTTS yes stands at 56%. Giana Erminio score in 75% of simulations against a 25% clean sheet for Alcione; Alcione score in 71% while Giana Erminio shut them out 29% of the time.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.4%, then 1-0 at 10% and 0-1 at 8.8%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Giana Erminio, full-time Giana Erminio is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 70%.
The grid built from 1.40 and 1.24 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Giana Erminio the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 32%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 49%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Giana Erminio find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Alcione in 71%.
Kick-off is 16:30 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.