Serie C - Girone A
Desenzano CalvinaHomeDWWLL
1:2Half-time 0:1
Giana ErminioAwayDDWWL422929
Desenzano Calvina winDrawGiana Erminio win
Desenzano CalvinaHomeDWWLLGiana ErminioAwayDDWWL- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.57 1.42 : 1.15
- Favourite
- 42% Desenzano Calvina
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 53% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.13 | 3.24 | 3.02 | 1.88 | 1.79 | 1.71 | 1.98 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.03 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.16 | 3.20 | 3.10 | 1.92 | 1.80 | 1.70 | 1.96 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.03 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.03 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Desenzano Calvina to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio are 2.25 for Desenzano Calvina at 22Bet, 3.40 for the draw at 22Bet and 3.10 for Giana Erminio at BC.Game.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.97 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 1.83 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.74 (Betwinner) and no 2.02 (Betwinner).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
72%
Our prediction
Desenzano Calvina or Giana Erminio (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.83
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.38fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance8.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Desenzano Calvina, full-time Desenzano Calvina
26% chance3.89fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.46fair
Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio odds movement
Desenzano Calvina win2.25unchanged
Draw3.40unchanged
Giana Erminio win3.10-0.13
Over 2.5 goals1.97unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.83-0.05
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio prediction
Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio prediction, who wins and at what price
Desenzano Calvina host Giana Erminio on Sunday, 25 October 2026 in the Serie C - Girone A, and the model has Desenzano Calvina at 42%, the draw at 29% and Giana Erminio at 29%: that is the Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 2.57 in total, split 1.42 to Desenzano Calvina and 1.15 to Giana Erminio. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 47% and both teams to score 53%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Desenzano Calvina or Giana Erminio (no draw) is the main selection, rated 72%. At 1.29 with Melbet the market prices it at 78%, against 72% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Desenzano Calvina average 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Giana Erminio 1.4 and 1.4 across 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio
Under 2.5 goals is rated 53% and under 3.5 74%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 73% and over 2.5 at 47%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 53%, best priced 1.83 at Betwinner.
Both teams to score is 53%: Desenzano Calvina find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Giana Erminio in 68%. Desenzano Calvina keep a clean sheet 32% of the time and Giana Erminio 24%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.5%, then 1-0 at 10.9% and 2-1 at 8.9%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Desenzano Calvina, full-time Desenzano Calvina leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio
The grid built from 1.42 and 1.15 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Desenzano Calvina to win42%2.25
Draw29%3.40
Giana Erminio to win29%3.10
Desenzano Calvina, draw no bet59%fair 1.69
Giana Erminio, draw no bet41%fair 2.44
Double chance
Desenzano Calvina or draw71%1.35
Giana Erminio or draw58%1.60
Desenzano Calvina or Giana Erminio (no draw)72%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.38
Over 2.5 goals47%1.97
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.89
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.47
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.66
Under 2.5 goals53%1.83
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.35
BTTS
Both teams to score53%1.74
Not both teams to score47%2.02
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.11
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32
Team goals
Desenzano Calvina to score76%fair 1.32
Giana Erminio to score68%fair 1.46
Desenzano Calvina clean sheet32%fair 3.15
Giana Erminio clean sheet24%fair 4.13
Desenzano Calvina to win to nil29%fair 3.44
Giana Erminio to win to nil22%fair 4.50
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.5%
1-010.9%
2-18.9%
0-18.8%
2-07.7%
0-07.7%
Half-time / full-time
Desenzano Calvina / Desenzano Calvina25.7%
Giana Erminio / Giana Erminio17.4%
Draw / Draw16.2%
Draw / Desenzano Calvina15.2%
Draw / Giana Erminio11.4%
Questions about Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio
Who will win Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio?
The model gives Desenzano Calvina the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 29%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 47%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio?
The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Desenzano Calvina find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Giana Erminio in 68%.
When do Desenzano Calvina play Giana Erminio?
Kick-off is 13:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.