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Live 35 UTC
Serie C - Girone A Girone A - 11 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
PergoletteseHomeDWWWL
2:1Half-time 0:1
LumezzaneAwayWDLLD
373231
Pergolettese winDrawLumezzane win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
2.29
1.20 : 1.09
Favourite
37%
Pergolettese
Over 2.5 goals
40%
model chance
Both teams to score
48%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Pergolettese vs Lumezzane

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.353.052.712.151.601.851.82Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Pergolettese to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Pergolettese price at 2.35, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.05 and 1xBet have Lumezzane longest at 2.71.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 89.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.15 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.60 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.85 (1xBet) and no 1.82 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

69%

Our prediction

Pergolettese or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.20 : 1.09-8.6% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
60% chance1.60
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.82
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
67% chance1.50fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.58fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Pergolettese, full-time Pergolettese
22% chance4.48fair
First halfFirst-half goal
64% chance1.56fair

Pergolettese vs Lumezzane odds movement

Pergolettese win2.35-0.22
Draw3.05-0.08
Lumezzane win2.71-0.24
Over 2.5 goals2.15-0.09
Under 2.5 goals1.60-0.07

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Pergolettese vs Lumezzane prediction

Our Pergolettese vs Lumezzane prediction and pick

The Pergolettese vs Lumezzane prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Serie C - Girone A on Sunday, 25 October 2026 gives Pergolettese a 37% chance, Lumezzane 31% and the draw 32%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

Pergolettese are expected to score 1.20 and Lumezzane 1.09, so the total line is 2.29 goals; over 2.5 lands at 40% and BTTS at 48%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Pergolettese or draw is the main selection, rated 69%. At 1.33 with 1xBet the market prices it at 75%, against 69% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Pergolettese vs Lumezzane.

The draw is live at 32%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Form check: Pergolettese have won 3 of their last 5 with 11 scored and 9 conceded, Lumezzane 1 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 8.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Pergolettese vs Lumezzane

Under 2.5 goals is rated 60% and under 3.5 80%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 67% and over 2.5 at 40%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.60 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 48%, built from Pergolettese scoring in 70% of runs and Lumezzane in 66%; clean sheets come at 34% for Pergolettese and 30% for Lumezzane.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 13.2%, then 1-0 at 12.2% and 0-1 at 11%.

With the top scoreline at 13.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Pergolettese vs Lumezzane; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Pergolettese, full-time Pergolettese is the top combination at 22%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 64%.

Every market rated for Pergolettese vs Lumezzane

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Pergolettese vs Lumezzane, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Pergolettese to win37%2.35
Draw32%3.05
Lumezzane to win31%2.71
Pergolettese, draw no bet54%fair 1.85
Lumezzane, draw no bet46%fair 2.17

Double chance

Pergolettese or draw69%1.33
Lumezzane or draw63%1.43
Pergolettese or Lumezzane (no draw)68%1.26

Goals

Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals67%fair 1.50
Over 2.5 goals40%2.15
Over 3.5 goals20%fair 5.03
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 12.05
Under 1.5 goals33%fair 3.00
Under 2.5 goals60%1.60
Under 3.5 goals80%fair 1.25

BTTS

Both teams to score48%1.85
Not both teams to score52%1.82

Halves

First-half goal64%fair 1.56
Over 1.5 first-half goals28%fair 3.64
Second-half goal72%fair 1.40

Team goals

Pergolettese to score70%fair 1.43
Lumezzane to score66%fair 1.51
Pergolettese clean sheet34%fair 2.98
Lumezzane clean sheet30%fair 3.32
Pergolettese to win to nil31%fair 3.24
Lumezzane to win to nil28%fair 3.61

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-113.2%
1-012.2%
0-111%
0-010.1%
2-17.9%
2-07.3%

Half-time / full-time

Pergolettese / Pergolettese22.3%
Lumezzane / Lumezzane18.8%
Draw / Draw18.7%
Draw / Pergolettese14.4%
Draw / Lumezzane12.7%

Questions about Pergolettese vs Lumezzane

Who will win Pergolettese vs Lumezzane?

The model gives Pergolettese the best chance at 37%, with the draw at 32%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Pergolettese vs Lumezzane correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 40% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Pergolettese vs Lumezzane?

The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Pergolettese find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Lumezzane in 66%.

When is Pergolettese vs Lumezzane and where is the result shown?

Pergolettese vs Lumezzane starts at 16:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Pergolettese v LumezzanePergolettese or draw, 69%
1.33Bet