Serie C - Girone A
Arzignano ValchiampoHomeDWLWD
2:0Half-time 1:0
NovaraAwayLWLDL393031
Arzignano Valchiampo winDrawNovara win
Arzignano ValchiampoHomeDWLWDNovaraAwayLWLDL- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.35 1.26 : 1.09
- Favourite
- 39% Arzignano Valchiampo
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 49% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.33 | 3.02 | 2.87 | 2.18 | 1.58 | 1.87 | 1.80 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.50 | 3.13 | 2.86 | 2.22 | 1.62 | 1.93 | 1.82 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.36 | 3.05 | 2.88 | 2.22 | 1.60 | 1.86 | 1.78 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.33 | 3.02 | 2.87 | 2.18 | 1.58 | 1.87 | 1.80 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.50 | 3.13 | 2.86 | 2.22 | 1.62 | 1.93 | 1.82 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Arzignano Valchiampo to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara prediction: Arzignano Valchiampo 2.50 (Melbet), draw 3.13 (Melbet), Novara 2.88 (BC.Game).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.7%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.22 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 1.62 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.93 (Melbet) and no 1.82 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
70%
Our prediction
Arzignano Valchiampo or Novara (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
59% chance1.62
BTTSNot both teams to score
51% chance1.82
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
68% chance1.47fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.63fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Arzignano Valchiampo, full-time Arzignano Valchiampo
23% chance4.27fair
First halfFirst-half goal
65% chance1.53fair
Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara odds movement
Arzignano Valchiampo win2.50unchanged
Draw3.13-0.02
Novara win2.88-0.12
Over 2.5 goals2.22-0.05
Under 2.5 goals1.62unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara prediction
Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara prediction, who wins and at what price
Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara prediction for the Serie C - Girone A on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model makes Arzignano Valchiampo marginally ahead at 39%, with the draw at 30% and Novara at 31%.
Arzignano Valchiampo are expected to score 1.26 and Novara 1.09, so the total line is 2.35 goals; over 2.5 lands at 42% and BTTS at 49%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is arzignano Valchiampo or Novara (no draw) at 70%. At 1.33 with 22Bet the market prices it at 75%, against 70% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara.
The draw is live at 30%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Arzignano Valchiampo average 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Novara 0.8 and 1.8 across 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 68%, over 2.5 at 42%, over 3.5 at 21%; under 2.5 is 59% and under 3.5 is 79%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 59%, best priced 1.62 at Melbet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 49%, built from Arzignano Valchiampo scoring in 72% of runs and Novara in 66%; clean sheets come at 34% for Arzignano Valchiampo and 28% for Novara.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 13.1%, then 1-0 at 12% and 0-1 at 10.4%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Arzignano Valchiampo, full-time Arzignano Valchiampo is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 65%.
Every market for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 39% / 30% / 31% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Arzignano Valchiampo to win39%2.50
Draw30%3.13
Novara to win31%2.88
Arzignano Valchiampo, draw no bet56%fair 1.78
Novara, draw no bet44%fair 2.28
Double chance
Arzignano Valchiampo or draw70%1.39
Novara or draw61%1.49
Arzignano Valchiampo or Novara (no draw)70%1.33
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals68%fair 1.47
Over 2.5 goals42%2.22
Over 3.5 goals21%fair 4.74
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 11.11
Under 1.5 goals32%fair 3.13
Under 2.5 goals59%1.62
Under 3.5 goals79%fair 1.27
BTTS
Both teams to score49%1.93
Not both teams to score51%1.82
Halves
First-half goal65%fair 1.53
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.51
Second-half goal73%fair 1.38
Team goals
Arzignano Valchiampo to score72%fair 1.40
Novara to score66%fair 1.51
Arzignano Valchiampo clean sheet34%fair 2.98
Novara clean sheet28%fair 3.52
Arzignano Valchiampo to win to nil31%fair 3.24
Novara to win to nil26%fair 3.83
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-113.1%
1-012%
0-110.4%
0-09.5%
2-18.3%
2-07.6%
Half-time / full-time
Arzignano Valchiampo / Arzignano Valchiampo23.4%
Draw / Draw18.1%
Novara / Novara18.1%
Draw / Arzignano Valchiampo14.8%
Draw / Novara12.2%
Questions about Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara
Arzignano Valchiampo or Novara: which side does the model back?
The model gives Arzignano Valchiampo the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 30%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 42% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?
The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Arzignano Valchiampo find the net in 72% of simulated matches and Novara in 66%.
When is Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara and where is the result shown?
Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara starts at 16:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.