Serie C - Girone A
Athletic CarpiHomeLLWWL
0:5Half-time 0:3
RenateAwayDDLDW382834
Athletic Carpi winDrawRenate win
Athletic CarpiHomeLLWWLRenateAwayDDLDW- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.75 1.42 : 1.33
- Favourite
- 38% Athletic Carpi
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 57% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Athletic Carpi vs Renate odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.40 | 3.14 | 2.58 | 1.82 | 1.85 | 1.64 | 2.08 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.54 | 3.37 | 2.64 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.44 | 3.25 | 2.62 | 1.84 | 1.88 | 1.64 | 2.04 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.40 | 3.14 | 2.58 | 1.82 | 1.85 | 1.64 | 2.08 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.54 | 3.37 | 2.64 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Athletic Carpi to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Athletic Carpi vs Renate prediction: Athletic Carpi 2.54 (Melbet), draw 3.37 (Melbet), Renate 2.64 (Melbet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.97 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.88 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.74 (22Bet) and no 2.08 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
72%
Our prediction
Athletic Carpi or Renate (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
BTTSBoth teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.26fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Athletic Carpi, full-time Athletic Carpi
23% chance4.29fairLost
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.41fairWon
Athletic Carpi vs Renate odds movement
Athletic Carpi win2.54unchanged
Draw3.37unchanged
Renate win2.64-0.07
Over 2.5 goals1.97unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.88-0.06
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:58 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Athletic Carpi vs Renate prediction
Athletic Carpi vs Renate prediction, who wins and at what price
The Athletic Carpi vs Renate prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Serie C - Girone A on Sunday, 1 November 2026 gives Athletic Carpi a 38% chance, Renate 34% and the draw 28%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
The goal expectancy is 2.75 in total, split 1.42 to Athletic Carpi and 1.33 to Renate. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 52% and both teams to score 57%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is athletic Carpi or Renate (no draw) at 72%. The best price in our comparison is 1.29 at 22Bet, which implies 78%, so the model sits 6 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches Athletic Carpi stand at 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Renate show 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Athletic Carpi vs Renate
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 76%, over 2.5 at 52%, over 3.5 at 30%; under 2.5 is 49% and under 3.5 is 70%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; 22Bet pay 1.97.
The chance of both teams scoring is 57%, built from Athletic Carpi scoring in 76% of runs and Renate in 74%; clean sheets come at 26% for Athletic Carpi and 24% for Renate.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Athletic Carpi vs Renate: 1-1 (12.1%), 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.6%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Athletic Carpi, full-time Athletic Carpi is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.
All markets, Athletic Carpi vs Renate
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Athletic Carpi vs Renate, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Athletic Carpi to win38%2.54
Draw28%3.37
Renate to win34%2.64
Athletic Carpi, draw no bet53%fair 1.90
Renate, draw no bet47%fair 2.11
Double chance
Athletic Carpi or draw66%1.45
Renate or draw62%1.48
Athletic Carpi or Renate (no draw)72%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals52%1.97
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.37
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.90
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.17
Under 2.5 goals49%1.88
Under 3.5 goals70%fair 1.42
BTTS
Both teams to score57%1.74
Not both teams to score43%2.08
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.85
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28
Team goals
Athletic Carpi to score76%fair 1.32
Renate to score74%fair 1.36
Athletic Carpi clean sheet26%fair 3.79
Renate clean sheet24%fair 4.13
Athletic Carpi to win to nil24%fair 4.12
Renate to win to nil22%fair 4.50
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.1%
1-09.1%
2-18.6%
0-18.5%
1-28%
2-06.4%
Half-time / full-time
Athletic Carpi / Athletic Carpi23.3%
Renate / Renate20.5%
Draw / Draw15.1%
Draw / Athletic Carpi13.7%
Draw / Renate12.5%
Questions about Athletic Carpi vs Renate
Athletic Carpi or Renate: which side does the model back?
The model gives Athletic Carpi the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Athletic Carpi vs Renate correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 52%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Athletic Carpi vs Renate both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Athletic Carpi find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Renate in 74%.
When do Athletic Carpi play Renate?
Kick-off is 16:30 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.