Serie C - Girone A
Union BresciaHomeDWLWW
2:1Half-time 1:1
CittadellaAwayLWWLW442927
Union Brescia winDrawCittadella win
Union BresciaHomeDWLWWCittadellaAwayLWWLW- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.42 1.40 : 1.02
- Favourite
- 44% Union Brescia
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 49% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Union Brescia vs Cittadella odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.94 | 3.22 | 3.54 | 2.04 | 1.67 | 1.84 | 1.83 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Union Brescia to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Union Brescia price at 1.94, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.22 and 1xBet have Cittadella longest at 3.54.
The best-price payout across the three results is 90.2%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.04 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.67 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.84 (1xBet) and no 1.83 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
74%
Our prediction
Union Brescia or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
57% chance1.67
BTTSNot both teams to score
51% chance1.83
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.44fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Union Brescia, full-time Union Brescia
27% chance3.68fair
First halfFirst-half goal
66% chance1.51fair
Union Brescia vs Cittadella odds movement
Union Brescia win1.94-0.11
Draw3.22-0.08
Cittadella win3.54-0.22
Over 2.5 goals2.04-0.07
Under 2.5 goals1.67-0.03
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Union Brescia vs Cittadella prediction
Union Brescia vs Cittadella prediction, who wins and at what price
The Union Brescia vs Cittadella prediction leans to Union Brescia: 44% against 26% for Cittadella, with 29% left for the draw, in the Serie C - Girone A on Saturday, 24 October 2026.
The goal expectancy is 2.42 in total, split 1.40 to Union Brescia and 1.02 to Cittadella. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 43% and both teams to score 49%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Union Brescia or draw is the main selection, rated 74%. The best price in our comparison is 1.21 at 1xBet, which implies 83%, so the model sits 9 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Union Brescia vs Cittadella.
Over the last 5 matches Union Brescia stand at 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Cittadella show 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Union Brescia vs Cittadella
Under 2.5 goals is rated 57% and under 3.5 78%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 70% and over 2.5 at 43%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 57%; 1xBet pay 1.67.
The chance of both teams scoring is 49%, built from Union Brescia scoring in 75% of runs and Cittadella in 64%; clean sheets come at 36% for Union Brescia and 25% for Cittadella.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Union Brescia vs Cittadella: 1-1 (12.7%), 1-0 (12.4%) and 0-1 (9.1%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Union Brescia, full-time Union Brescia leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 66%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Union Brescia vs Cittadella
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Union Brescia vs Cittadella, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Union Brescia to win44%1.94
Draw29%3.22
Cittadella to win26%3.54
Union Brescia, draw no bet63%fair 1.59
Cittadella, draw no bet37%fair 2.69
Double chance
Union Brescia or draw74%1.21
Cittadella or draw56%1.69
Union Brescia or Cittadella (no draw)71%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.44
Over 2.5 goals43%2.04
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.44
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.20
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.29
Under 2.5 goals57%1.67
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.29
BTTS
Both teams to score49%1.84
Not both teams to score51%1.83
Halves
First-half goal66%fair 1.51
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.37
Second-half goal74%fair 1.36
Team goals
Union Brescia to score75%fair 1.33
Cittadella to score64%fair 1.56
Union Brescia clean sheet36%fair 2.77
Cittadella clean sheet25%fair 4.05
Union Brescia to win to nil33%fair 3.01
Cittadella to win to nil23%fair 4.41
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-112.7%
1-012.4%
0-19.1%
0-08.9%
2-18.9%
2-08.7%
Half-time / full-time
Union Brescia / Union Brescia27.2%
Draw / Draw17.3%
Draw / Union Brescia16.2%
Cittadella / Cittadella15.3%
Draw / Cittadella10.6%
Questions about Union Brescia vs Cittadella
Who will win Union Brescia vs Cittadella?
The model gives Union Brescia the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Union Brescia vs Cittadella correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 43% backs the same picture with less variance.
Union Brescia vs Cittadella both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Union Brescia find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Cittadella in 64%.
When do Union Brescia play Cittadella?
Union Brescia vs Cittadella starts at 15:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.