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Live 1 UTC
Serie A Round 10 Monday, 2 November 2026 Kick-off
AtalantaHomeWLLDD
Mon 2 Nov
ParmaAwayWLLLD
632116
Atalanta winDrawParma win
Kick-off
Mon 2 Nov
Expected goals
3.11
2.12 : 0.99
Favourite
63%
Atalanta
Over 2.5 goals
60%
model chance
Both teams to score
55%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Atalanta vs Parma odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.564.686.301.672.401.702.05Bet
22Bet1.504.506.051.612.321.702.05Bet
BC.Game1.504.505.801.582.321.692.08Bet
Betwinner1.564.686.301.672.401.702.05Bet
Melbet1.564.686.301.672.401.702.05Bet
Stake1.484.705.801.562.331.702.04Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Atalanta to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Atalanta vs Parma are 1.56 for Atalanta at 1xBet, 4.70 for the draw at Stake and 6.30 for Parma at Melbet.

The best-price payout across the three results is 98.8%, several points better than any single book offers here.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.67 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.40 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.70 (Melbet) and no 2.08 (BC.Game).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

63%

Our prediction

Atalanta to win
BankerExpected goals 2.12 : 0.99-1.7% against the best price
Double chanceAtalanta or draw
84% chance1.17
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.67
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.70
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
10% chance10.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Atalanta, full-time Atalanta
41% chance2.42fair

Atalanta vs Parma prediction

Our Atalanta vs Parma prediction and pick

Atalanta are the clear favourite in the Atalanta vs Parma prediction, rated 63% to win this Serie A match on Monday, 2 November 2026. Parma sit at 17% and the draw at 21%.

The goal expectancy is 3.11 in total, split 2.12 to Atalanta and 0.99 to Parma. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 60% and both teams to score 55%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Atalanta to win is the main selection, rated 63%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.56. That price implies 64%, 1 points over the model figure.

Atalanta or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 84% chance, priced 1.17.

The draw sits at only 21%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Over the last 5 matches Atalanta stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Parma show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Atalanta vs Parma

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 82%, over 2.5 at 60%, over 3.5 at 38%; under 2.5 is 40% and under 3.5 is 62%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 60%; Melbet pay 1.67.

Both teams to score is 55%: Atalanta find the net in 88% of simulated matches and Parma in 63%. Atalanta keep a clean sheet 37% of the time and Parma 12%.

Correct score: 2-0 leads at 10%, then 2-1 at 9.9% and 1-0 at 9.5%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Atalanta, full-time Atalanta leads at 41%. A goal before the break is rated 75%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Atalanta vs Parma

The grid built from 2.12 and 0.99 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Atalanta to win63%1.56
Draw21%4.70
Parma to win17%6.30
Atalanta, draw no bet79%fair 1.26
Parma, draw no bet21%fair 4.81

Double chance

Atalanta or draw84%1.17
Parma or draw37%2.69
Atalanta or Parma (no draw)80%1.25

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.67
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.65
Over 4.5 goals20%fair 4.93
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.46
Under 2.5 goals40%2.40
Under 3.5 goals62%fair 1.61

BTTS

Both teams to score55%1.70
Not both teams to score45%2.08

Halves

First-half goal75%fair 1.33
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.45
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22

Team goals

Atalanta to score88%fair 1.14
Parma to score63%fair 1.59
Atalanta clean sheet37%fair 2.69
Parma clean sheet12%fair 8.33
Atalanta to win to nil34%fair 2.92
Parma to win to nil11%fair 9.09

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-010%
2-19.9%
1-09.5%
1-19.4%
3-07.1%
3-17%

Half-time / full-time

Atalanta / Atalanta41.4%
Draw / Atalanta18.6%
Draw / Draw11.4%
Parma / Parma9.2%
Draw / Parma6.3%

Questions about Atalanta vs Parma

Atalanta or Parma: which side does the model back?

The model gives Atalanta the best chance at 63%, with the draw at 21%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in Atalanta vs Parma?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 10%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 60%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Atalanta vs Parma both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Atalanta find the net in 88% of simulated matches and Parma in 63%.

When do Atalanta play Parma?

Atalanta vs Parma starts at 19:45 UTC on Monday, 2 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Atalanta v ParmaAtalanta to win, 63%
1.56Bet