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Live 24 UTC
Iraqi League Round 12 Saturday, 31 October 2026 FT
Al ShortaHomeWDWDD
1:1Half-time 1:1
NewrozAwayDWWDD
522820
Al Shorta winDrawNewroz win
Kick-off
Sat 31 Oct
Expected goals
2.34
1.48 : 0.86
Favourite
52%
Al Shorta
Over 2.5 goals
41%
model chance
Both teams to score
45%
model chance
Prices compared
4
in the odds table

Al Shorta vs Newroz betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet1.773.544.271.911.831.901.80Bet
BC.Game1.703.604.301.861.86--Bet
Betwinner1.773.544.271.911.831.901.80Bet
Melbet1.773.544.271.911.831.901.80Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Al Shorta to win partner prices

22Bet pay the best Al Shorta price at 1.77, BC.Game lead the draw at 3.60 and BC.Game have Newroz longest at 4.30.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.91 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.86 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.90 (22Bet) and no 1.80 (22Bet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

52%

Our prediction

Al Shorta to win
LeanExpected goals 1.48 : 0.86-8.7% against the best price
Double chanceAl Shorta or draw
79% chance1.18
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
59% chance1.86
BTTSNot both teams to score
55% chance1.80
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
68% chance1.47fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance6.99fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Al Shorta, full-time Al Shorta
31% chance3.18fair

Al Shorta vs Newroz prediction

Our Al Shorta vs Newroz prediction and pick

The Al Shorta vs Newroz prediction leans to Al Shorta: 52% against 21% for Newroz, with 28% left for the draw, in the Iraqi League on Saturday, 31 October 2026.

Al Shorta are expected to score 1.48 and Newroz 0.86, so the total line is 2.34 goals; over 2.5 lands at 41% and BTTS at 45%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is al Shorta to win at 52%. The best price in our comparison is 1.77 at 22Bet, which implies 56%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Al Shorta vs Newroz.

Al Shorta or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 79% chance, priced 1.18.

Over the last 5 matches Al Shorta stand at 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Newroz show 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in 5.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Al Shorta vs Newroz

Under 2.5 goals is rated 59% and under 3.5 79%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 68% and over 2.5 at 41%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 59%, best priced 1.86 at BC.Game.

BTTS yes stands at 45%. Al Shorta score in 77% of simulations against a 23% clean sheet for Newroz; Newroz score in 58% while Al Shorta shut them out 42% of the time.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 14.3%, then 1-1 at 12.3% and 2-0 at 10.5%.

With the top scoreline at 14.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Al Shorta vs Newroz; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Al Shorta, full-time Al Shorta leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 65%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Al Shorta vs Newroz

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 52% / 28% / 21% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Al Shorta to win52%1.77
Draw28%3.60
Newroz to win21%4.30
Al Shorta, draw no bet71%fair 1.41
Newroz, draw no bet29%fair 3.46

Double chance

Al Shorta or draw79%1.18
Newroz or draw49%1.96
Al Shorta or Newroz (no draw)73%1.25

Goals

Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals68%fair 1.47
Over 2.5 goals41%1.91
Over 3.5 goals21%fair 4.78
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 11.36
Under 1.5 goals32%fair 3.11
Under 2.5 goals59%1.86
Under 3.5 goals79%fair 1.26

BTTS

Both teams to score45%1.90
Not both teams to score55%1.80

Halves

First-half goal65%fair 1.54
Over 1.5 first-half goals28%fair 3.52
Second-half goal72%fair 1.38

Team goals

Al Shorta to score77%fair 1.30
Newroz to score58%fair 1.73
Al Shorta clean sheet42%fair 2.36
Newroz clean sheet23%fair 4.39
Al Shorta to win to nil39%fair 2.57
Newroz to win to nil19%fair 5.18

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-014.3%
1-112.3%
2-010.5%
0-09.6%
2-19.1%
0-18.3%

Half-time / full-time

Al Shorta / Al Shorta31.4%
Draw / Al Shorta18.2%
Draw / Draw17.5%
Newroz / Newroz11.9%
Draw / Newroz8.8%

Questions about Al Shorta vs Newroz

Al Shorta or Newroz: which side does the model back?

The model gives Al Shorta the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 28%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What scoreline is most likely in Al Shorta vs Newroz?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 41% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Al Shorta vs Newroz?

The BTTS yes line is rated 45%. Al Shorta find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Newroz in 58%.

When do Al Shorta play Newroz?

Al Shorta vs Newroz starts at 16:30 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Al Shorta v NewrozAl Shorta to win, 52%
1.77Bet