DFB-Pokal
Holstein KielHomeLDWDL
1:1Half-time 1:1Penalties 4:3
1899 HoffenheimAwayWWWDL161866
Holstein Kiel winDraw1899 Hoffenheim win
Holstein KielHomeLDWDL1899 HoffenheimAwayWWWDL- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.89 1.24 : 2.65
- Favourite
- 67% 1899 Hoffenheim
- Over 2.5 goals
- 74% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 66% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 5.76 | 4.85 | 1.45 | 1.27 | 3.14 | 1.42 | 2.66 | Bet |
 22Bet | 6.60 | 4.42 | 1.48 | 1.45 | 2.75 | 1.57 | 2.42 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 6.00 | 4.70 | 1.45 | 1.40 | 2.78 | 1.54 | 2.32 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 6.60 | 4.42 | 1.48 | 1.45 | 2.75 | 1.57 | 2.42 | Bet |
 Melbet | 6.60 | 4.42 | 1.48 | 1.45 | 2.75 | 1.58 | 2.39 | Bet |
 Stake | 5.40 | 4.70 | 1.44 | - | - | 1.50 | 2.31 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
1899 Hoffenheim to win partner prices
Betwinner pay the best Holstein Kiel price at 6.60, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.85 and Betwinner have 1899 Hoffenheim longest at 1.48.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.8%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.45 (22Bet) and under 2.5 3.14 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.58 (Melbet) and no 2.66 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
67%
Our prediction
1899 Hoffenheim to win
Double chance1899 Hoffenheim or draw
85% chance1.12
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
74% chance1.45
BTTSBoth teams to score
66% chance1.58
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
90% chance1.11fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
9% chance11.24fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time 1899 Hoffenheim, full-time 1899 Hoffenheim
46% chance2.18fair
Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim prediction
Our Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim prediction and pick
Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim prediction for the DFB-Pokal on Wednesday, 28 October 2026: the model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the clear favourite at 67%, with the draw at 18% and Holstein Kiel at 16%.
Holstein Kiel are expected to score 1.24 and 1899 Hoffenheim 2.65, so the total line is 3.89 goals; over 2.5 lands at 74% and BTTS at 66%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim is 1899 Hoffenheim to win, a 67% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.48 at Betwinner, which implies 68%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.
For a safer line, 1899 Hoffenheim or draw covers 85% of outcomes at 1.12.
The draw sits at only 18%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Over the last 5 matches Holstein Kiel stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; 1899 Hoffenheim show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 90%, over 2.5 at 74%, over 3.5 at 54%; under 2.5 is 26% and under 3.5 is 46%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 74%; 22Bet pay 1.45.
The chance of both teams scoring is 66%, built from Holstein Kiel scoring in 71% of runs and 1899 Hoffenheim in 93%; clean sheets come at 7% for Holstein Kiel and 29% for 1899 Hoffenheim.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 66%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-2 at 8.9%, followed by 1-3 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.2%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time 1899 Hoffenheim, full-time 1899 Hoffenheim leads at 46%. A goal before the break is rated 83%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Holstein Kiel to win16%6.60
Draw18%4.85
1899 Hoffenheim to win67%1.48
Holstein Kiel, draw no bet19%fair 5.29
1899 Hoffenheim, draw no bet81%fair 1.23
Double chance
Holstein Kiel or draw33%2.65
1899 Hoffenheim or draw85%1.12
Holstein Kiel or 1899 Hoffenheim (no draw)82%1.21
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 2.5 goals74%1.45
Over 3.5 goals54%fair 1.84
Over 4.5 goals35%fair 2.87
Under 1.5 goals10%fair 10.00
Under 2.5 goals26%3.14
Under 3.5 goals46%fair 2.19
BTTS
Both teams to score66%1.58
Not both teams to score34%2.66
Halves
First-half goal83%fair 1.21
Over 1.5 first-half goals52%fair 1.92
Second-half goal88%fair 1.13
Team goals
Holstein Kiel to score71%fair 1.41
1899 Hoffenheim to score93%fair 1.08
Holstein Kiel clean sheet7%fair 14.08
1899 Hoffenheim clean sheet29%fair 3.46
Holstein Kiel to win to nil7%fair 15.38
1899 Hoffenheim to win to nil27%fair 3.76
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-28.9%
1-37.9%
0-27.2%
1-16.7%
0-36.3%
2-25.5%
Half-time / full-time
1899 Hoffenheim / 1899 Hoffenheim45.9%
Draw / 1899 Hoffenheim17.3%
Holstein Kiel / Holstein Kiel8.9%
Draw / Draw8.3%
Draw / Holstein Kiel5.4%
Questions about Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim
Holstein Kiel or 1899 Hoffenheim: which side does the model back?
The model gives 1899 Hoffenheim the best chance at 67%, with the draw at 18%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 8.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 74% backs the same picture with less variance.
Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 66%. Holstein Kiel find the net in 71% of simulated matches and 1899 Hoffenheim in 93%.
What time does Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim kick off?
Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim starts at 19:45 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.