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Live 11 UTC
2. Bundesliga Round 10 Sunday, 1 November 2026 FT
SpVgg Greuther FürthHomeDLWLW
1:0Half-time 0:0
Holstein KielAwayLDWDL
382537
SpVgg Greuther Fürth winDrawHolstein Kiel win
Kick-off
Sun 1 Nov
Expected goals
3.10
1.55 : 1.55
Favourite
38%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Over 2.5 goals
59%
model chance
Both teams to score
63%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Best odds for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.523.622.491.482.331.442.60Bet
22Bet2.513.682.611.682.191.562.43Bet
BC.Game2.503.552.541.602.221.502.40Bet
Betwinner2.563.682.561.682.191.562.43Bet
Melbet2.563.682.561.682.191.562.43Bet
Stake2.503.702.551.582.281.522.37Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel are 2.56 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth at Betwinner, 3.70 for the draw at Stake and 2.61 for Holstein Kiel at 22Bet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.8%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.68 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.33 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.56 (22Bet) and no 2.60 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

75%

Our prediction

SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Holstein Kiel (no draw)
LeanWonExpected goals 1.55 : 1.55-4.4% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
59% chance1.68Lost
BTTSBoth teams to score
63% chance1.56Lost
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.23fairLost
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.26fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Holstein Kiel, full-time Holstein Kiel
23% chance4.39fairLost
First halfFirst-half goal
75% chance1.33fairLost

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel odds movement

SpVgg Greuther Fürth win2.56-0.08
Draw3.70-0.10
Holstein Kiel win2.61unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.68unchanged
Under 2.5 goals2.33-0.10

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:58 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel prediction

Our SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel prediction and pick

The SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. 2. Bundesliga on Sunday, 1 November 2026 gives SpVgg Greuther Fürth a 38% chance, Holstein Kiel 37% and the draw 25%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

The goal expectancy is 3.10 in total, split 1.55 to SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1.55 to Holstein Kiel. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 59% and both teams to score 63%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel is spVgg Greuther Fürth or Holstein Kiel (no draw), a 75% chance. At 1.28 with 22Bet the market prices it at 78%, against 75% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel.

Form check: SpVgg Greuther Fürth have won 2 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 6 conceded, Holstein Kiel 1 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 3.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 82%, over 2.5 at 59%, over 3.5 at 38%; under 2.5 is 41% and under 3.5 is 63%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 59%, best priced 1.68 at 22Bet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 63%, built from SpVgg Greuther Fürth scoring in 79% of runs and Holstein Kiel in 79%; clean sheets come at 21% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 21% for Holstein Kiel.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.8%, then 1-2 at 8.4% and 2-1 at 8.4%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Holstein Kiel, full-time Holstein Kiel leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 75%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win38%2.56
Draw25%3.70
Holstein Kiel to win37%2.61
SpVgg Greuther Fürth, draw no bet50%fair 1.99
Holstein Kiel, draw no bet50%fair 2.01

Double chance

SpVgg Greuther Fürth or draw63%1.51
Holstein Kiel or draw63%1.53
SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Holstein Kiel (no draw)75%1.28

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.68
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.67
Over 4.5 goals20%fair 4.95
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.41
Under 2.5 goals41%2.33
Under 3.5 goals63%fair 1.60

BTTS

Both teams to score63%1.56
Not both teams to score37%2.60

Halves

First-half goal75%fair 1.33
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.46
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22

Team goals

SpVgg Greuther Fürth to score79%fair 1.27
Holstein Kiel to score79%fair 1.27
SpVgg Greuther Fürth clean sheet21%fair 4.72
Holstein Kiel clean sheet21%fair 4.72
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win to nil20%fair 5.13
Holstein Kiel to win to nil20%fair 5.13

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.8%
1-28.4%
2-18.4%
0-17%
1-07%
2-26.5%

Half-time / full-time

Holstein Kiel / Holstein Kiel22.8%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth / SpVgg Greuther Fürth22.8%
Draw / Draw13%
Draw / SpVgg Greuther Fürth12.7%
Draw / Holstein Kiel12.7%

Questions about SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel

Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel?

The model gives SpVgg Greuther Fürth the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 25%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 59% backs the same picture with less variance.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 63%. SpVgg Greuther Fürth find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Holstein Kiel in 79%.

When do SpVgg Greuther Fürth play Holstein Kiel?

Kick-off is 12:30 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Holstein KielSpVgg Greuther Fürth or Holstein Kiel (no draw), 75%
1.28Bet