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Live 21 UTC
2. Bundesliga Round 9 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
Holstein KielHomeLDWDL
3:0Half-time 1:0
Dynamo DresdenAwayDWLWL
422533
Holstein Kiel winDrawDynamo Dresden win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
3.08
1.64 : 1.44
Favourite
42%
Holstein Kiel
Over 2.5 goals
59%
model chance
Both teams to score
63%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.253.702.821.562.331.482.47Bet
BC.Game---1.572.30--Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Holstein Kiel to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Holstein Kiel price at 2.25, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.70 and 1xBet have Dynamo Dresden longest at 2.82.

The best-price payout across the three results is 93.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.57 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.33 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.48 (1xBet) and no 2.47 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

75%

Our prediction

Holstein Kiel or Dynamo Dresden (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.64 : 1.44-6.4% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
59% chance1.57
BTTSBoth teams to score
63% chance1.48
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.23fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.17fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Holstein Kiel, full-time Holstein Kiel
26% chance3.89fair
First halfFirst-half goal
75% chance1.33fair

Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden prediction

Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden prediction, who wins and at what price

Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden prediction for the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model makes Holstein Kiel marginally ahead at 42%, with the draw at 25% and Dynamo Dresden at 33%.

Expected goals are 1.64 for Holstein Kiel and 1.44 for Dynamo Dresden, a total of 3.08, which puts over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 63%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Holstein Kiel or Dynamo Dresden (no draw) is the main selection, rated 75%. The best price in our comparison is 1.25 at 1xBet, which implies 80%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden.

Holstein Kiel average 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded across their last 5, Dynamo Dresden 1.2 and 1.2 across 5.

Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 81%, over 2.5 at 59%, over 3.5 at 37%; under 2.5 is 41% and under 3.5 is 63%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 59%; BC.Game pay 1.57.

BTTS yes stands at 63%. Holstein Kiel score in 81% of simulations against a 19% clean sheet for Dynamo Dresden; Dynamo Dresden score in 76% while Holstein Kiel shut them out 24% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.9%, then 2-1 at 8.9% and 1-2 at 7.8%.

With the top scoreline at 10.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Holstein Kiel, full-time Holstein Kiel leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 75%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden

The grid built from 1.64 and 1.44 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Holstein Kiel to win42%2.25
Draw25%3.70
Dynamo Dresden to win33%2.82
Holstein Kiel, draw no bet56%fair 1.80
Dynamo Dresden, draw no bet44%fair 2.26

Double chance

Holstein Kiel or draw67%1.40
Dynamo Dresden or draw58%1.60
Holstein Kiel or Dynamo Dresden (no draw)75%1.25

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.57
Over 3.5 goals37%fair 2.70
Over 4.5 goals20%fair 5.05
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.32
Under 2.5 goals41%2.33
Under 3.5 goals63%fair 1.59

BTTS

Both teams to score63%1.48
Not both teams to score37%2.47

Halves

First-half goal75%fair 1.33
Over 1.5 first-half goals40%fair 2.48
Second-half goal82%fair 1.23

Team goals

Holstein Kiel to score81%fair 1.24
Dynamo Dresden to score76%fair 1.31
Holstein Kiel clean sheet24%fair 4.22
Dynamo Dresden clean sheet19%fair 5.15
Holstein Kiel to win to nil22%fair 4.59
Dynamo Dresden to win to nil18%fair 5.62

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.9%
2-18.9%
1-27.8%
1-07.5%
0-16.6%
2-26.4%

Half-time / full-time

Holstein Kiel / Holstein Kiel25.7%
Dynamo Dresden / Dynamo Dresden19.9%
Draw / Holstein Kiel13.9%
Draw / Draw13.1%
Draw / Dynamo Dresden11.5%

Questions about Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden

Holstein Kiel or Dynamo Dresden: which side does the model back?

The model gives Holstein Kiel the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 25%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 59% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?

The BTTS yes line is rated 63%. Holstein Kiel find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Dynamo Dresden in 76%.

What time does Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden kick off?

Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden starts at 12:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Holstein Kiel v Dynamo DresdenHolstein Kiel or Dynamo Dresden (no draw), 75%
1.25Bet