Holstein KielHomeLDWDL
Dynamo DresdenAwayDWLWL
Holstein KielHomeLDWDL
Dynamo DresdenAwayDWLWL| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.25 | 3.70 | 2.82 | 1.56 | 2.33 | 1.48 | 2.47 | Bet | |
| - | - | - | 1.57 | 2.30 | - | - | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
1xBet pay the best Holstein Kiel price at 2.25, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.70 and 1xBet have Dynamo Dresden longest at 2.82.
The best-price payout across the three results is 93.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.57 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.33 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.48 (1xBet) and no 2.47 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
Our prediction
Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden prediction for the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model makes Holstein Kiel marginally ahead at 42%, with the draw at 25% and Dynamo Dresden at 33%.
Expected goals are 1.64 for Holstein Kiel and 1.44 for Dynamo Dresden, a total of 3.08, which puts over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 63%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Holstein Kiel or Dynamo Dresden (no draw) is the main selection, rated 75%. The best price in our comparison is 1.25 at 1xBet, which implies 80%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden.
Holstein Kiel average 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded across their last 5, Dynamo Dresden 1.2 and 1.2 across 5.
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 81%, over 2.5 at 59%, over 3.5 at 37%; under 2.5 is 41% and under 3.5 is 63%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 59%; BC.Game pay 1.57.
BTTS yes stands at 63%. Holstein Kiel score in 81% of simulations against a 19% clean sheet for Dynamo Dresden; Dynamo Dresden score in 76% while Holstein Kiel shut them out 24% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.9%, then 2-1 at 8.9% and 1-2 at 7.8%.
With the top scoreline at 10.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Holstein Kiel, full-time Holstein Kiel leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 75%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
The grid built from 1.64 and 1.44 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Holstein Kiel the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 25%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 59% backs the same picture with less variance.
The BTTS yes line is rated 63%. Holstein Kiel find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Dynamo Dresden in 76%.
Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden starts at 12:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.